Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultBorussia Dortmund to win ✗67% · @1.30
Double chanceBorussia Dortmund or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 9 October the Bundesliga brings Borussia Dortmund against Werder Bremen at Signal Iduna Park. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Borussia Dortmund are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 9 matches; Werder Bremen are 6th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Borussia Dortmund, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over VfB Stuttgart, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Werder Bremen, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over FC Augsburg, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Borussia Dortmund, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Werder Bremen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Borussia Dortmund 2.3 xG, Werder Bremen 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Borussia Dortmund 67%, draw 17%, Werder Bremen 16%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Borussia Dortmund to win (67%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Werder Bremen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Borussia Dortmund67%fair 1.49 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 5.90 · @5.00
Werder Bremen16%fair 6.29 · @7.50
3.38Expected goals
2.34Borussia Dortmund xG
1.04Werder Bremen xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Borussia Dortmund 2.3 – 1.0 Werder Bremen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win✗
67%
1.49
1.30
Double chance
Borussia Dortmund or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Borussia Dortmund (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Borussia Dortmund -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
First team to score
Borussia Dortmund to score first
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Borussia Dortmund – last 6
WWWWWW
19 Sep
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs SC Paderborn 07
3–0
W
8 Sep
vs Villarreal
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
W
1 Sep
@ HEBC
5–0
W
29 Aug
vs Hamburger SV
2–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Werder Bremen – last 6
WDWLWL
19 Sep
vs FC Augsburg
3–2
W
12 Sep
@ 1. FC Köln
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs RB Leipzig
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ SC Freiburg
1–4
L
22 Aug
@ Lüneburger SK Hansa
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Auxerre
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen.
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Our pick is Borussia Dortmund to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
On our numbers Borussia Dortmund have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Werder Bremen 16%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Our predicted score is Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Werder Bremen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Signal Iduna Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
