Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultSC Freiburg to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.15
SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Schalke 04 travel to face SC Freiburg on Sunday 11 October in the Bundesliga, with Europa-Park-Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, SC Freiburg are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 9 matches; FC Schalke 04 are 17th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
SC Freiburg, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over FC Luzern, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
FC Schalke 04, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Austria Lustenau, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours SC Freiburg, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for FC Schalke 04.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SC Freiburg 1.8 xG, FC Schalke 04 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SC Freiburg 60%, draw 20%, FC Schalke 04 20%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SC Freiburg to win (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Freiburg 1–0 FC Schalke 04. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SC Freiburg60%fair 1.66 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.80
FC Schalke 0420%fair 5.03 · @5.00
2.75Expected goals
1.83SC Freiburg xG
0.92FC Schalke 04 xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: SC Freiburg 1.8 – 0.9 FC Schalke 04 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Freiburg to win✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.60
Draw no bet
SC Freiburg (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
FC Schalke 04 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
SC Freiburg to score first
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
SC Freiburg ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Freiburg / FT SC Freiburg✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
SC Freiburg – last 6
WDWWWW
3 Oct
vs FC Luzern
4–2
W
19 Sep
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
5–0
W
5 Sep
@ SC Paderborn 07
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Werder Bremen
4–1
W
27 Aug
vs Motherwell
4–1
W
3.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Schalke 04 – last 6
WDWDLD
3 Oct
@ Austria Lustenau
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs SV Elversberg
0–0
D
11 Sep
@ Union Berlin
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Bayern München
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ FC Augsburg
0–3
L
24 Aug
@ Hallescher FC
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Freiburg and FC Schalke 04.
What is the prediction for SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?
Our pick is SC Freiburg to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?
On our numbers SC Freiburg have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Schalke 04 20%.
How many goals will there be in SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?
Our predicted score is SC Freiburg 1–0 FC Schalke 04, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?
SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Europa-Park-Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
