SC Freiburg vs Bayern München: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bayern München travel to face SC Freiburg on Sunday 25 October in the Bundesliga, with Europa-Park Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, SC Freiburg are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 9 matches; Bayern München are 1st (leading the league) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
SC Freiburg, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Monaco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Bayern München, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Arsenal, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.7 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SC Freiburg 1.2 xG, Bayern München 2.8 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SC Freiburg 11%, draw 19%, Bayern München 70%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bayern München to win (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Freiburg 1–2 Bayern München. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SC Freiburg11%fair 8.92 · @6.00
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @5.00
Bayern München70%fair 1.42 · @1.36
4.00Expected goals
1.17SC Freiburg xG
2.83Bayern München xG
65%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
0–37%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: SC Freiburg 1.2 – 2.8 Bayern München expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayern München to win✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Double chance
Bayern München or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Draw no bet
Bayern München (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Bayern München -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Bayern München to score first✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Bayern München ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayern München / FT Bayern München✓
49%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
SC Freiburg – last 6
LLWWWD
22 Oct
@ Monaco
0–3
L
18 Oct
@ Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
15 Oct
vs FK Jablonec
3–2
W
11 Oct
vs FC Schalke 04
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs FC Luzern
4–2
W
19 Sep
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bayern München – last 6
DWDDWW
21 Oct
vs Arsenal
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs RB Leipzig
6–1
W
13 Oct
@ Viking
3–3
D
10 Oct
@ FC Augsburg
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Union Berlin
7–0
W
13 Sep
@ SV Elversberg
2–1
W
3.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Freiburg and Bayern München.
What is the prediction for SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
Our pick is Bayern München to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
On our numbers SC Freiburg have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bayern München 70%.
How many goals will there be in SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
Our predicted score is SC Freiburg 1–2 Bayern München, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
SC Freiburg vs Bayern München (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Europa-Park Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
