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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Union Berlin v 1. FC Köln: numbers & prediction

Bundesliga · Germany
1–1
FT
Union Berlin 37%Draw 21%1. FC Köln 41% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.58
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

Result1. FC Köln to win ✗41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.60

Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 1 November the Bundesliga brings Union Berlin against 1. FC Köln. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Union Berlin are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 9 matches; 1. FC Köln are 15th (lower half) with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Union Berlin, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to 1. FC Köln, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

1. FC Köln, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Union Berlin, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Oct 2026) it ended 1. FC Köln 5–0 Union Berlin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Union Berlin 1.5 xG, 1. FC Köln 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Union Berlin 37%, draw 21%, 1. FC Köln 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Berlin 1–1 1. FC Köln. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Union Berlin37%fair 2.67 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.50
1. FC Köln41%fair 2.43 · @2.45
3.07Expected goals
1.49Union Berlin xG
1.581. FC Köln xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Union Berlin 1.5 – 1.6 1. FC Köln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result1. FC Köln to win ✗41%2.432.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.55
Draw no bet1. FC Köln (draw no bet)52%1.91–
Asian handicapUnion Berlin +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
First team to score1. FC Köln to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT 1. FC Köln / FT 1. FC Köln ✗24%4.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.60–

Recent results

Union Berlin – last 6

LDDWLL
27 Oct@ 1. FC Köln0–5L
24 Oct@ FC Augsburg1–1D
17 Octvs Borussia Dortmund0–0D
10 Octvs SV Elversberg1–0W
18 Sep@ Bayern München0–7L
11 Sepvs FC Schalke 041–3L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

1. FC Köln – last 6

WDLWDL
27 Octvs Union Berlin5–0W
24 Octvs FC Schalke 040–0D
16 Oct@ Eintracht Frankfurt0–1L
11 Octvs Borussia Mönchengladbach2–1W
3 Oct@ FC Viktoria Köln2–2D
19 Sep@ Hamburger SV1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Oct 20261. FC Köln v Union Berlin5–0
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln head-to-head page →

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern München9630+2021
2Borussia Dortmund9630+921
3SC Freiburg9612+1019
4RB Leipzig9603+1418
5Bayer Leverkusen9513+316
6Werder Bremen9432+215
7SV Elversberg9414-113
8VfB Stuttgart9405012
91899 Hoffenheim9405-112
10Eintracht Frankfurt9333-512
11Hamburger SV9405-1012
12FSV Mainz 059315-110
13SC Paderborn 079243-310
14FC Augsburg923409
151. FC Köln9234-49
16Union Berlin9144-147
17FC Schalke 049135-66
18Borussia Mönchengladbach9117-134

More Bundesliga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

On our numbers Union Berlin have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and 1. FC Köln 41%.

How many goals will there be in Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

Our predicted score is Union Berlin 1–1 1. FC Köln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln?

Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.