Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultFSV Mainz 05 to win ✗49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.36
SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 30 October the Bundesliga brings SV Elversberg against FSV Mainz 05 at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, SV Elversberg are 7th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (lower half) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
SV Elversberg, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to SV Darmstadt 98, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
FSV Mainz 05, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to VfL Bochum, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours FSV Mainz 05, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for SV Elversberg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SV Elversberg 1.8 xG, FSV Mainz 05 2.2 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SV Elversberg 31%, draw 20%, FSV Mainz 05 49%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: SV Elversberg 1–2 FSV Mainz 05. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SV Elversberg31%fair 3.24 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.80
FSV Mainz 0549%fair 2.02 · @2.05
4.00Expected goals
1.76SV Elversberg xG
2.24FSV Mainz 05 xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–16%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: SV Elversberg 1.8 – 2.2 FSV Mainz 05 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FSV Mainz 05 to win✗
49%
2.02
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Draw no bet
FSV Mainz 05 (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
SV Elversberg +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
FSV Mainz 05 to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
FSV Mainz 05 ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FSV Mainz 05 / FT FSV Mainz 05✗
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.36
–
Recent results
SV Elversberg – last 6
LLWLDL
27 Oct
vs SV Darmstadt 98
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ RB Leipzig
0–4
L
17 Oct
vs FC Augsburg
4–3
W
10 Oct
@ Union Berlin
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ FC Schalke 04
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Bayern München
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05 – last 6
LLWLWW
27 Oct
@ VfL Bochum
0–2
L
24 Oct
vs Werder Bremen
2–3
L
17 Oct
@ FC Schalke 04
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Bayer Leverkusen
3–4
L
3 Oct
@ Waldhof Mannheim
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Borussia Mönchengladbach
4–3
W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SV Elversberg and FSV Mainz 05.
What is the prediction for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
On our numbers SV Elversberg have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FSV Mainz 05 49%.
How many goals will there be in SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
Our predicted score is SV Elversberg 1–2 FSV Mainz 05, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
