FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bayern München travel to face FSV Mainz 05 on Saturday 7 November in the Bundesliga, with Mewa Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, FSV Mainz 05 are 12th, lower half, on 10 points after 9 matches; Bayern München are 1st (leading the league) with 21.
Current form
FSV Mainz 05, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to SV Elversberg, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Bayern München, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atletico Madrid, away. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game.
Momentum favours Bayern München, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for FSV Mainz 05.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FSV Mainz 05 1.3 xG, Bayern München 2.9 xG – a total near 4.2. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FSV Mainz 05 13%, draw 17%, Bayern München 70%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FSV Mainz 05 1–2 Bayern München. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FSV Mainz 0513%fair 7.67 · @8.00
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @6.25
Bayern München70%fair 1.42 · @1.30
4.16Expected goals
1.26FSV Mainz 05 xG
2.90Bayern München xG
64%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–38%
0–27%
0–36%
1–46%
1–16%
From our goals model: FSV Mainz 05 1.3 – 2.9 Bayern München expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayern München to win✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Double chance
Bayern München or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Draw no bet
Bayern München (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Bayern München -1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
First team to score
Bayern München to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Bayern München ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayern München / FT Bayern München✓
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.08
–
Recent results
FSV Mainz 05 – last 6
LLLWLW
30 Oct
@ SV Elversberg
1–4
L
27 Oct
@ VfL Bochum
0–2
L
24 Oct
vs Werder Bremen
2–3
L
17 Oct
@ FC Schalke 04
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Bayer Leverkusen
3–4
L
3 Oct
@ Waldhof Mannheim
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bayern München – last 6
WDWWDW
3 Nov
@ Atletico Madrid
2–0
W
31 Oct
vs Borussia Dortmund
2–2
D
28 Oct
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
6–1
W
25 Oct
@ SC Freiburg
3–1
W
21 Oct
vs Arsenal
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs RB Leipzig
6–1
W
3.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München.
What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
On our numbers FSV Mainz 05 have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Bayern München 70%.
How many goals will there be in FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
Our predicted score is FSV Mainz 05 1–2 Bayern München, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Mewa Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
