Bayern München 83%Draw 10%1. FC Köln 7%Expected goals 3.18 – 0.75
77%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20
8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultBayern München to win83% · @1.07
Double chanceBayern München or draw93% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–18% · fair 12.65
Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bayern München welcome 1. FC Köln to Allianz Arena for a Bundesliga fixture on Friday 20 November (20:30 WAT). In the table, Bayern München are 1st, leading the league, on 21 points after 9 matches; 1. FC Köln are 15th (lower half) with 9. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bayern München, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FSV Mainz 05, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
1. FC Köln, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bayern München, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for 1. FC Köln.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bayern München 3.2 xG, 1. FC Köln 0.8 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bayern München 83%, draw 10%, 1. FC Köln 7%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bayern München 3–0 1. FC Köln. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bayern München83%fair 1.20 · @1.07
Draw10%fair 10.03 · @11.00
1. FC Köln7%fair 14.33 · @23.00
3.93Expected goals
3.18Bayern München xG
0.751. FC Köln xG
56%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–010%
2–010%
4–08%
3–18%
2–17%
4–16%
From our goals model: Bayern München 3.2 – 0.8 1. FC Köln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
Attack vs Bundesliga average
+67%
-29%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
-1%
Our expected goals here
3.41
0.70
Our own ratings from every Bundesliga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayern München to win
83%
1.20
1.07
Double chance
Bayern München or draw
93%
1.08
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Bayern München (draw no bet)
92%
1.08
–
Asian handicap
Bayern München -1.5 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
91%
1.10
1.05
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
59%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
60%
1.68
1.73
First team to score
Bayern München to score first
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Bayern München ahead at half-time
64%
1.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayern München / FT Bayern München
61%
1.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1
8%
12.65
–
Recent results
Bayern München – last 6
WWDWWD
7 Nov
@ FSV Mainz 05
2–1
W
3 Nov
@ Atletico Madrid
2–0
W
31 Oct
vs Borussia Dortmund
2–2
D
28 Oct
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
6–1
W
25 Oct
@ SC Freiburg
3–1
W
21 Oct
vs Arsenal
2–2
D
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
1. FC Köln – last 6
LDWDLW
8 Nov
vs Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
1 Nov
@ Union Berlin
1–1
D
27 Oct
vs Union Berlin
5–0
W
24 Oct
vs FC Schalke 04
0–0
D
16 Oct
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bayern München and 1. FC Köln.
What is the prediction for Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?
On our numbers Bayern München have a 83% chance of winning, the draw 10% and 1. FC Köln 7%.
How many goals will there be in Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?
Our predicted score is Bayern München 3–0 1. FC Köln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?
Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 20 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
