Value bet: Famalicao to win @ 2.32 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFamalicao to win ✗48% · @2.32
Double chanceFamalicao or draw ✓74% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.86
Estoril vs Famalicao: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:15 WAT, Friday 7 August: Estoril v Famalicao in the Primeira Liga, played at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota. In the table, Estoril are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 10 matches; Famalicao are 10th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Estoril, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CF Os Belenenses, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Famalicao, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Como, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Famalicao, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Estoril.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estoril 1.0 xG, Famalicao 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estoril 26%, draw 26%, Famalicao 48%.
Lower-risk option: Famalicao or draw (74%) at 1.38.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Famalicao to win @2.32 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Famalicao or draw (74%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estoril 0–1 Famalicao. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estoril26%fair 3.81 · @2.98
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.30
Famalicao48%fair 2.10 · @2.32
2.45Expected goals
0.96Estoril xG
1.49Famalicao xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Estoril 1.0 – 1.5 Famalicao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Famalicao to win✗
48%
2.10
2.32 ▲
Double chance
Famalicao or draw✓
74%
1.36
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.70
Draw no bet
Famalicao (draw no bet)
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Estoril +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
First team to score
Famalicao to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Famalicao / FT Famalicao✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.86
–
Recent results
Estoril – last 6
DDLWLL
31 Jul
@ CF Os Belenenses
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Torreense
0–0
D
22 Jul
@ Alverca
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs Atlético CP
3–0
W
20 Apr
@ Moreirense
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Arouca
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Famalicao – last 6
LWDDWW
31 Jul
vs Como
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Tondela
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Arouca
0–0
D
18 Jul
vs Penafiel
0–0
D
15 Jul
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
1–0
W
11 Jul
vs Famalicão U23
5–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estoril and Famalicao.
Our pick is Famalicao or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Estoril vs Famalicao?
On our numbers Estoril have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Famalicao 48%.
How many goals will there be in Estoril vs Famalicao?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estoril vs Famalicao?
Our predicted score is Estoril 0–1 Famalicao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Estoril vs Famalicao?
Estoril vs Famalicao (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
