Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗11% · fair 8.83
Casa Pia vs Benfica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 17 August the Primeira Liga brings Casa Pia against Benfica at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior. Kick-off: 20:15 WAT. In the table, Casa Pia are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Benfica are 2nd (among the top four) with 28. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Casa Pia, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Maritimo, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Benfica, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Heart Of Midlothian, away. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Benfica, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Casa Pia.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Casa Pia 1–1 Benfica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Casa Pia 0.6 xG, Benfica 2.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Casa Pia 8%, draw 16%, Benfica 76%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Casa Pia 0–2 Benfica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Casa Pia8%fair 12.57 · @14.00
Draw16%fair 6.13 · @5.60
Benfica76%fair 1.32 · @1.22
2.80Expected goals
0.57Casa Pia xG
2.24Benfica xG
49%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–215%
0–114%
0–311%
1–29%
1–18%
1–36%
From our goals model: Casa Pia 0.6 – 2.2 Benfica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Casa Pia vs Benfica?
On our numbers Casa Pia have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Benfica 76%.
How many goals will there be in Casa Pia vs Benfica?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Casa Pia vs Benfica?
Our predicted score is Casa Pia 0–2 Benfica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Casa Pia vs Benfica?
Casa Pia vs Benfica (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
