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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sporting CP v Vitória SC: numbers & prediction

Primeira Liga · Portugal · Estádio José Alvalade
3–2
FT
Sporting CP 70%Draw 16%Vitória SC 14% Expected goals 2.11 – 0.79
70%
Betarazi pick

Sporting CP to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.24Odds

Picks by market

ResultSporting CP to win ✓70% · @1.24
Double chanceSporting CP or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34

Sporting CP vs Vitória SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vitória SC travel to face Sporting CP on Friday 14 August in the Primeira Liga, with Estádio José Alvalade the venue – the ball rolls at 20:15 WAT. In the table, Sporting CP are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 11 matches; Vitória SC are 14th (lower half) with 9. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sporting CP, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Estrela, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.

Vitória SC, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Arouca, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sporting CP, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Vitória SC.

Head to head

When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Sporting CP 5–1 Guimaraes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting CP 2.1 xG, Vitória SC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting CP 70%, draw 16%, Vitória SC 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sporting CP to win (70%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting CP 2–0 Vitória SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting CP70%fair 1.44 · @1.24
Draw16%fair 6.28 · @5.90
Vitória SC14%fair 6.92 · @10.50
2.90Expected goals
2.11Sporting CP xG
0.79Vitória SC xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: Sporting CP 2.1 – 0.8 Vitória SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting CP to win ✓70%1.441.24
Double chanceSporting CP or draw ✓86%1.171.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.90
Draw no betSporting CP (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapSporting CP -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.611.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.271.25
First team to scoreSporting CP to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultSporting CP ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP ✓44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.34–

Recent results

Sporting CP – last 6

DWWWWD
8 Aug@ Estrela2–2D
31 Julvs Nottingham Forest4–1W
25 Julvs Monaco2–0W
20 Julvs Strasbourg7–0W
14 Julvs Celtic4–1W
24 Mayvs Torreense1–1D
3.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Vitória SC – last 6

LWDWWL
8 Augvs Arouca0–1L
1 Augvs Chaves2–0W
26 Jul@ Nottingham Forest1–1D
24 Jul@ Al-Ahli Jeddah3–1W
18 Julvs Academica2–0W
11 Mayvs Casa Pia0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 May 2026Sporting CP v Guimaraes5–1
Sporting CP vs Vitória SC head-to-head page →

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto111100+2233
2Benfica11911+2028
3Sporting CP11731+1324
4Santa Clara11632+821
5Arouca11623+520
6Academico Viseu11623+220
7GIL Vicente11533+218
8SC Braga11524+217
9Moreirense11425-514
10Famalicao11344+113
11Alverca11335-112
12Estrela11245-510
13Nacional11317-810
14Vitória SC11236-19
15Maritimo10226-128
16Casa Pia11227-148
17Rio Ave11218-157
18Estoril10028-142

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting CP vs Vitória SC?

Our pick is Sporting CP to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Sporting CP vs Vitória SC?

On our numbers Sporting CP have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Vitória SC 14%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting CP vs Vitória SC?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting CP vs Vitória SC?

Our predicted score is Sporting CP 2–0 Vitória SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Sporting CP vs Vitória SC?

Sporting CP vs Vitória SC (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Alvalade.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.