Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultSC Braga to win ✗60% · @1.70
Double chanceSC Braga or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Estrela vs SC Braga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 10 September the Primeira Liga brings Estrela against SC Braga. Kick-off: 20:15 WAT. In the table, Estrela are 12th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; SC Braga are 8th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Estrela, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Famalicao, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
SC Braga, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Alverca, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estrela 1.3 xG, SC Braga 2.3 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estrela 19%, draw 21%, SC Braga 60%.
Lower-risk option: SC Braga or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SC Braga to win (60%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estrela 1–2 SC Braga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estrela19%fair 5.37 · @4.75
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
SC Braga60%fair 1.66 · @1.70
3.57Expected goals
1.25Estrela xG
2.32SC Braga xG
56%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Estrela 1.3 – 2.3 SC Braga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Braga to win✗
60%
1.66
1.70
Double chance
SC Braga or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.83
Draw no bet
SC Braga (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
SC Braga -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
First team to score
SC Braga to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
SC Braga ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Braga / FT SC Braga✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Estrela – last 6
DWDDWD
5 Sep
vs Famalicao
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Nacional
3–2
W
15 Aug
@ Alverca
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Sporting CP
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Al-Nassr
4–2
W
29 Jul
@ Maritimo
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
SC Braga – last 6
WWDWDD
5 Sep
@ Alverca
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Vitória SC
1–0
W
27 Aug
@ Austria Vienna
0–0
D
20 Aug
vs Austria Vienna
2–0
W
13 Aug
@ Dinamo Minsk
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Moreirense
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrela and SC Braga.
Our pick is SC Braga to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Estrela vs SC Braga?
On our numbers Estrela have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SC Braga 60%.
How many goals will there be in Estrela vs SC Braga?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrela vs SC Braga?
Our predicted score is Estrela 1–2 SC Braga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Estrela vs SC Braga?
Estrela vs SC Braga (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
