GIL Vicente 60%Draw 22%Casa Pia 17%Expected goals 2.01 – 0.99
60%
Betarazi pick
GIL Vicente to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGIL Vicente to win ✓60% · @1.73
Double chanceGIL Vicente or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.04
GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 24 August the Primeira Liga brings GIL Vicente against Casa Pia at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos. Kick-off: 20:15 WAT. In the table, GIL Vicente are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Casa Pia are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
GIL Vicente, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rio Ave, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Casa Pia, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to Benfica, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours GIL Vicente, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Casa Pia.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended GIL Vicente 2–1 Casa Pia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give GIL Vicente 2.0 xG, Casa Pia 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – GIL Vicente 60%, draw 22%, Casa Pia 17%.
Lower-risk option: GIL Vicente or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was GIL Vicente to win (60%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: GIL Vicente 2–0 Casa Pia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
GIL Vicente60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.40
Casa Pia17%fair 5.72 · @4.80
3.00Expected goals
2.01GIL Vicente xG
0.99Casa Pia xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: GIL Vicente 2.0 – 1.0 Casa Pia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
Our pick is GIL Vicente to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
On our numbers GIL Vicente have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Casa Pia 17%.
How many goals will there be in GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
Our predicted score is GIL Vicente 2–0 Casa Pia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
