Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBenfica to win ✓74% · @1.16
Double chanceBenfica or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.89
Benfica vs Estoril: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Benfica welcome Estoril to Estádio da Luz for a Primeira Liga fixture on Monday 31 August (20:15 WAT). In the table, Benfica are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; Estoril are 18th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Benfica, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Aarhus, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.7 a game lately.
Estoril, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rio Ave, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Benfica, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Estoril.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Benfica 2.6 xG, Estoril 0.9 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Benfica 74%, draw 15%, Estoril 11%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Benfica 2–1 Estoril. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Benfica74%fair 1.35 · @1.16
Draw15%fair 6.55 · @7.10
Estoril11%fair 9.52 · @15.00
3.47Expected goals
2.59Benfica xG
0.88Estoril xG
58%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Benfica 2.6 – 0.9 Estoril expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica to win✓
74%
1.35
1.16
Double chance
Benfica or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Benfica (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Benfica -1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
First team to score
Benfica to score first✓
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Benfica ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica / FT Benfica✓
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Benfica – last 6
WWWDDW
27 Aug
@ Aarhus
3–1
W
20 Aug
vs Aarhus
3–1
W
17 Aug
@ Casa Pia
7–0
W
13 Aug
@ Heart Of Midlothian
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Academico Viseu
2–2
D
6 Aug
vs Heart Of Midlothian
6–1
W
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Estoril – last 6
LLDDDL
22 Aug
vs Rio Ave
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Nacional
0–2
L
7 Aug
vs Famalicao
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ CF Os Belenenses
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Torreense
0–0
D
22 Jul
@ Alverca
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benfica and Estoril.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Benfica vs Estoril?
On our numbers Benfica have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Estoril 11%.
How many goals will there be in Benfica vs Estoril?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benfica vs Estoril?
Our predicted score is Benfica 2–1 Estoril, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Benfica vs Estoril?
Benfica vs Estoril (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Luz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
