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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rio Ave v Sporting CP: numbers & prediction

Primeira Liga · Portugal · Estádio do Rio Ave FC

Rio Ave

WLLWD
0–4
FT
Rio Ave 11%Draw 18%Sporting CP 71% Expected goals 0.81 – 2.31
71%
Betarazi pick

Sporting CP to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.31 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.31Odds

Picks by market

ResultSporting CP to win ✓71% · @1.31
Double chanceSporting CP or draw ✓89% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49

Rio Ave vs Sporting CP: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rio Ave welcome Sporting CP to Estádio do Rio Ave FC for a Primeira Liga fixture on Friday 28 August (20:15 WAT). In the table, Rio Ave are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Sporting CP are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Rio Ave, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Estoril, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Sporting CP, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Alverca, at home. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours Sporting CP, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Rio Ave.

Head to head

When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Rio Ave 1–4 Sporting CP.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rio Ave 0.8 xG, Sporting CP 2.3 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rio Ave 11%, draw 18%, Sporting CP 71%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sporting CP to win (71%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rio Ave 0–2 Sporting CP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rio Ave11%fair 8.84 · @8.90
Draw18%fair 5.69 · @5.10
Sporting CP71%fair 1.41 · @1.31
3.12Expected goals
0.81Rio Ave xG
2.31Sporting CP xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%
0–110%
1–210%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%

From our goals model: Rio Ave 0.8 – 2.3 Sporting CP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting CP to win ✓71%1.411.31
Double chanceSporting CP or draw ✓89%1.131.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.77
Draw no betSporting CP (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapSporting CP -1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.671.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.291.25
First team to scoreSporting CP to score first ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultSporting CP ahead at half-time ✓52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP ✓48%2.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.49–

Recent results

Rio Ave – last 6

WLLWDW
22 Aug@ Estoril2–0W
15 Augvs FC Porto0–2L
9 Aug@ GIL Vicente0–1L
1 Augvs Tondela3–1W
19 Julvs Al-Ahli Jeddah2–2D
15 Jul@ Portimonense3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sporting CP – last 6

WWDWWW
22 Augvs Alverca3–1W
14 Augvs Vitória SC3–2W
8 Aug@ Estrela2–2D
31 Julvs Nottingham Forest4–1W
25 Julvs Monaco2–0W
20 Julvs Strasbourg7–0W
3.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 May 2026Rio Ave v Sporting CP1–4
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP head-to-head page →

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto111100+2233
2Benfica11911+2028
3Sporting CP11731+1324
4Santa Clara11632+821
5Arouca11623+520
6Academico Viseu11623+220
7GIL Vicente11533+218
8SC Braga11524+217
9Moreirense11425-514
10Famalicao11344+113
11Alverca11335-112
12Estrela11245-510
13Nacional11317-810
14Vitória SC11236-19
15Maritimo10226-128
16Casa Pia11227-148
17Rio Ave11218-157
18Estoril10028-142

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?

Our pick is Sporting CP to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.

Who will win Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?

On our numbers Rio Ave have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sporting CP 71%.

How many goals will there be in Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?

Our predicted score is Rio Ave 0–2 Sporting CP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?

Rio Ave vs Sporting CP (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Rio Ave FC.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.