Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBenfica to win ✓68% · @1.25
Double chanceBenfica or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Maritimo vs Benfica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Maritimo v Benfica in the Primeira Liga. In the table, Maritimo are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Benfica are 2nd (among the top four) with 28. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Maritimo, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Arouca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Benfica, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Estoril, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Benfica, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Maritimo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maritimo 1.1 xG, Benfica 2.5 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maritimo 13%, draw 19%, Benfica 68%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Benfica to win (68%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maritimo 1–2 Benfica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maritimo13%fair 7.69 · @10.00
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @5.80
Benfica68%fair 1.48 · @1.25
3.57Expected goals
1.06Maritimo xG
2.51Benfica xG
56%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
1–18%
0–37%
0–17%
From our goals model: Maritimo 1.1 – 2.5 Benfica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica to win✓
68%
1.48
1.25
Double chance
Benfica or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Benfica (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Benfica -1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
First team to score
Benfica to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Benfica ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica / FT Benfica✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Maritimo – last 6
LDWWDD
29 Aug
@ Arouca
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Academico Viseu
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Famalicao
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Casa Pia
1–0
W
29 Jul
vs Estrela
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Machico
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Benfica – last 6
WWWWDD
31 Aug
vs Estoril
2–1
W
27 Aug
@ Aarhus
3–1
W
20 Aug
vs Aarhus
3–1
W
17 Aug
@ Casa Pia
7–0
W
13 Aug
@ Heart Of Midlothian
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Academico Viseu
2–2
D
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maritimo and Benfica.
Our pick is Benfica to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Maritimo vs Benfica?
On our numbers Maritimo have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Benfica 68%.
How many goals will there be in Maritimo vs Benfica?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maritimo vs Benfica?
Our predicted score is Maritimo 1–2 Benfica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Maritimo vs Benfica?
Maritimo vs Benfica (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
