Santa Clara 58%Draw 22%Rio Ave 20%Expected goals 1.45 – 0.68
80%
Betarazi pick
Santa Clara or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Santa Clara to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSanta Clara to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceSanta Clara or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.82
Santa Clara vs Rio Ave: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santa Clara welcome Rio Ave for a Primeira Liga fixture on Sunday 6 September (15:30 WAT). In the table, Santa Clara are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Rio Ave are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Santa Clara, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alverca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Rio Ave, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Sporting CP, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Santa Clara, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Rio Ave.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Clara 1.4 xG, Rio Ave 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Clara 58%, draw 22%, Rio Ave 20%.
Lower-risk option: Santa Clara or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Santa Clara to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Santa Clara or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Clara 1–0 Rio Ave. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Clara58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
Rio Ave20%fair 5.02 · @4.40
2.13Expected goals
1.45Santa Clara xG
0.68Rio Ave xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
0–012%
1–112%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Santa Clara 1.4 – 0.7 Rio Ave expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Clara to win✓
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Santa Clara or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.75
Draw no bet
Santa Clara (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Rio Ave +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Santa Clara to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Clara / FT Santa Clara✓
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.82
–
Recent results
Santa Clara – last 6
DWWDWD
29 Aug
@ Alverca
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Famalicao
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Academico Viseu
1–0
W
10 Aug
vs Nacional
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Arouca
3–0
W
22 Jul
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rio Ave – last 6
LWLLWD
28 Aug
vs Sporting CP
0–4
L
22 Aug
@ Estoril
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs FC Porto
0–2
L
9 Aug
@ GIL Vicente
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Tondela
3–1
W
19 Jul
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Clara and Rio Ave.
What is the prediction for Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?
Our pick is Santa Clara or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?
On our numbers Santa Clara have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rio Ave 20%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?
Our predicted score is Santa Clara 1–0 Rio Ave, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?
Santa Clara vs Rio Ave (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
