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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Benfica v GIL Vicente: numbers & prediction

Primeira Liga · Portugal

Benfica

WWWWW
3–1
FT
Benfica 75%Draw 19%GIL Vicente 5% Expected goals 2.26 – 0.52
51%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultBenfica to win ✓75% · @1.15
Double chanceBenfica or draw ✓95% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12% · fair 8.38

Benfica vs GIL Vicente: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Benfica v GIL Vicente in the Primeira Liga. In the table, Benfica are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; GIL Vicente are 7th (upper half) with 18.

Current form

Benfica, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Moreirense, away. The attack is flying at 3.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

GIL Vicente, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Academico Viseu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Benfica, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for GIL Vicente.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Mar 2026) it ended GIL Vicente 1–2 Benfica.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Benfica 2.3 xG, GIL Vicente 0.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Benfica 75%, draw 19%, GIL Vicente 5%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Benfica 2–0 GIL Vicente. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Benfica75%fair 1.33 · @1.15
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @7.50
GIL Vicente5%fair 19.07 · @17.00
2.78Expected goals
2.26Benfica xG
0.52GIL Vicente xG
49%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–016%
1–014%
3–012%
2–18%
1–17%
4–07%

From our goals model: Benfica 2.3 – 0.5 GIL Vicente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBenfica to win ✓75%1.331.15
Double chanceBenfica or draw ✓95%1.061.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.981.50
Draw no betBenfica (draw no bet) ✓93%1.07–
Asian handicapBenfica -1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.90–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreBenfica to score first76%1.31–
Half-time resultBenfica ahead at half-time ✗55%1.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT Benfica / FT Benfica ✗52%1.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12%8.38–

Recent results

Benfica – last 6

WWWWWW
9 Sep@ Moreirense4–0W
5 Sep@ Maritimo3–0W
31 Augvs Estoril2–1W
27 Aug@ Aarhus3–1W
20 Augvs Aarhus3–1W
17 Aug@ Casa Pia7–0W
3.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

GIL Vicente – last 6

LDWWDD
6 Sepvs Academico Viseu0–1L
30 Aug@ Famalicao0–0D
24 Augvs Casa Pia2–0W
9 Augvs Rio Ave1–0W
25 Julvs Moreirense2–2D
18 Julvs Felgueiras 19321–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Mar 2026GIL Vicente v Benfica1–2
Benfica vs GIL Vicente head-to-head page →

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto111100+2233
2Benfica11911+2028
3Sporting CP11731+1324
4Santa Clara11632+821
5Arouca11623+520
6Academico Viseu11623+220
7GIL Vicente11533+218
8SC Braga11524+217
9Moreirense11425-514
10Famalicao11344+113
11Alverca11335-112
12Estrela11245-510
13Nacional11317-810
14Vitória SC11236-19
15Maritimo10226-128
16Casa Pia11227-148
17Rio Ave11218-157
18Estoril10028-142

More Primeira Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Benfica vs GIL Vicente?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Benfica vs GIL Vicente?

On our numbers Benfica have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 19% and GIL Vicente 5%.

How many goals will there be in Benfica vs GIL Vicente?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Benfica vs GIL Vicente?

Our predicted score is Benfica 2–0 GIL Vicente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Benfica vs GIL Vicente?

Benfica vs GIL Vicente (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.