Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultFamalicao to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceFamalicao or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Famalicao vs Alverca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:15 WAT, Monday 12 October: Famalicao v Alverca in the Primeira Liga, played at Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho. In the table, Famalicao are 10th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Alverca are 11th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Famalicao, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Nacional, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Alverca, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rio Ave, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Famalicao 1.7 xG, Alverca 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Famalicao 57%, draw 26%, Alverca 17%.
Lower-risk option: Famalicao or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Famalicao or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Famalicao 1–0 Alverca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Famalicao57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.40
Alverca17%fair 5.89 · @4.00
2.57Expected goals
1.73Famalicao xG
0.84Alverca xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Famalicao 1.7 – 0.8 Alverca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Famalicao to win✗
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Famalicao or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
Famalicao (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Alverca +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Famalicao to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Famalicao / FT Famalicao✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Famalicao – last 6
WDDDLL
19 Sep
@ Nacional
4–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sporting CP
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Estrela
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs GIL Vicente
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Santa Clara
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Maritimo
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alverca – last 6
WWLDLD
19 Sep
vs Rio Ave
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Nacional
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs SC Braga
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Santa Clara
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Sporting CP
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Estrela
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Famalicao and Alverca.
Our pick is Famalicao or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Famalicao vs Alverca?
On our numbers Famalicao have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Alverca 17%.
How many goals will there be in Famalicao vs Alverca?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Famalicao vs Alverca?
Our predicted score is Famalicao 1–0 Alverca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Famalicao vs Alverca?
Famalicao vs Alverca (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
