Value bet: Moreirense to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGIL Vicente to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.66
Moreirense vs GIL Vicente: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Friday 9 October: Moreirense v GIL Vicente in the Primeira Liga, played at Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas. In the table, Moreirense are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 11 matches; GIL Vicente are 7th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Moreirense, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vitória SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
GIL Vicente, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Maritimo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended GIL Vicente 2–2 Moreirense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moreirense 1.1 xG, GIL Vicente 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moreirense 33%, draw 23%, GIL Vicente 44%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Moreirense to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moreirense 1–1 GIL Vicente. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moreirense33%fair 3.01 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
GIL Vicente44%fair 2.30 · @2.20
2.46Expected goals
1.12Moreirense xG
1.34GIL Vicente xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Moreirense 1.1 – 1.3 GIL Vicente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?
On our numbers Moreirense have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and GIL Vicente 44%.
How many goals will there be in Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?
Our predicted score is Moreirense 1–1 GIL Vicente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?
Moreirense vs GIL Vicente (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
