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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Santa Clara v Benfica: numbers & prediction

Primeira Liga · Portugal · Estádio de São Miguel
1–2
FT

Benfica

WWWLW
Santa Clara 9%Draw 21%Benfica 70% Expected goals 0.72 – 2.22
70%
Betarazi pick

Benfica to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBenfica to win ✓70% · @1.36
Double chanceBenfica or draw ✓91% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.67

Santa Clara vs Benfica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Benfica travel to face Santa Clara on Monday 26 October in the Primeira Liga, with Estádio de São Miguel the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Santa Clara are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Benfica are 2nd (among the top four) with 28.

Current form

Santa Clara, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mafra, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Benfica, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Omonia Nicosia, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Benfica, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Santa Clara.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Santa Clara 1–2 Benfica.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santa Clara 0.7 xG, Benfica 2.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Clara 9%, draw 21%, Benfica 70%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Benfica to win (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Clara 0–2 Benfica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santa Clara9%fair 11.40 · @8.50
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.50
Benfica70%fair 1.43 · @1.36
2.94Expected goals
0.72Santa Clara xG
2.22Benfica xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–213%
0–112%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%

From our goals model: Santa Clara 0.7 – 2.2 Benfica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBenfica to win ✓70%1.431.36
Double chanceBenfica or draw ✓91%1.101.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.952.10 ▲
Draw no betBenfica (draw no bet) ✓89%1.13–
Asian handicapBenfica -1 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreBenfica to score first ✗72%1.40–
Half-time resultBenfica ahead at half-time ✗52%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Benfica / FT Benfica ✗48%2.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%10.67–

Recent results

Santa Clara – last 6

DWDWWD
18 Oct@ Mafra2–2D
10 Oct@ Casa Pia1–0W
20 Sepvs SC Braga0–0D
13 Sep@ Arouca2–1W
6 Sepvs Rio Ave4–0W
29 Aug@ Alverca1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Benfica – last 6

WWWLWW
22 Oct@ Omonia Nicosia4–1W
15 Octvs Celtic4–1W
11 Octvs Vitória SC2–0W
20 Sep@ FC Porto1–3L
16 Sep@ AC Milan2–0W
13 Sepvs GIL Vicente3–1W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Santa Clara v Benfica1–2
Santa Clara vs Benfica head-to-head page →

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto111100+2233
2Benfica11911+2028
3Sporting CP11731+1324
4Santa Clara11632+821
5Arouca11623+520
6Academico Viseu11623+220
7GIL Vicente11533+218
8SC Braga11524+217
9Moreirense11425-514
10Famalicao11344+113
11Alverca11335-112
12Estrela11245-510
13Nacional11317-810
14Vitória SC11236-19
15Maritimo10226-128
16Casa Pia11227-148
17Rio Ave11218-157
18Estoril10028-142

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santa Clara vs Benfica?

Our pick is Benfica to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Santa Clara vs Benfica?

On our numbers Santa Clara have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Benfica 70%.

How many goals will there be in Santa Clara vs Benfica?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santa Clara vs Benfica?

Our predicted score is Santa Clara 0–2 Benfica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Santa Clara vs Benfica?

Santa Clara vs Benfica (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Estádio de São Miguel.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.