Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultVitória SC to win ✓64% · @1.65
Double chanceVitória SC or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Vitória SC vs Maritimo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maritimo travel to face Vitória SC on Friday 23 October in the Primeira Liga – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Vitória SC are 14th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Maritimo are 15th (lower half) with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vitória SC, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Recreativa de Lamelas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Maritimo, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Alcochetense, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitória SC 1.7 xG, Maritimo 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitória SC 64%, draw 23%, Maritimo 14%.
Lower-risk option: Vitória SC or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vitória SC to win (64%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitória SC 1–0 Maritimo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitória SC64%fair 1.57 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.60
Maritimo14%fair 7.24 · @5.00
2.38Expected goals
1.73Vitória SC xG
0.65Maritimo xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Vitória SC 1.7 – 0.7 Maritimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitória SC to win✓
64%
1.57
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Vitória SC or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.95
Draw no bet
Vitória SC (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Vitória SC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Vitória SC to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Vitória SC ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitória SC / FT Vitória SC✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
Vitória SC – last 6
WLDLDL
17 Oct
@ Recreativa de Lamelas
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Benfica
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Moreirense
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Academico Viseu
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Casa Pia
0–0
D
31 Aug
@ SC Braga
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Maritimo – last 6
WLDLLL
18 Oct
@ Alcochetense
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs FC Porto
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ GIL Vicente
1–1
D
14 Sep
@ Moreirense
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Benfica
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Arouca
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitória SC and Maritimo.
What is the prediction for Vitória SC vs Maritimo?
Our pick is Vitória SC to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Vitória SC vs Maritimo?
On our numbers Vitória SC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maritimo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Vitória SC vs Maritimo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitória SC vs Maritimo?
Our predicted score is Vitória SC 1–0 Maritimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Vitória SC vs Maritimo?
Vitória SC vs Maritimo (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
