Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSporting CP to win ✓68% · @1.29
Double chanceSporting CP or draw ✓86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Casa Pia vs Sporting CP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Casa Pia welcome Sporting CP for a Primeira Liga fixture on Friday 30 October (21:15 WAT). In the table, Casa Pia are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Sporting CP are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Casa Pia, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Estrela, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sporting CP, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Maritimo, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Casa Pia 0.8 xG, Sporting CP 2.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Casa Pia 14%, draw 18%, Sporting CP 68%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sporting CP to win (68%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Casa Pia 0–2 Sporting CP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Casa Pia14%fair 7.17 · @9.00
Draw18%fair 5.67 · @5.00
Sporting CP68%fair 1.46 · @1.29
3.00Expected goals
0.84Casa Pia xG
2.16Sporting CP xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Casa Pia 0.8 – 2.2 Sporting CP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win✓
68%
1.46
1.29
Double chance
Sporting CP or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Sporting CP (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Sporting CP -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Sporting CP to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Casa Pia – last 6
WWLWLD
24 Oct
@ Estrela
2–0
W
18 Oct
@ Alpendorada
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Santa Clara
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Estoril
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs FC Porto
1–4
L
6 Sep
@ Vitória SC
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sporting CP – last 6
WLLWWD
27 Oct
vs Maritimo
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Academico Viseu
1–2
L
21 Oct
vs Lask Linz
2–3
L
13 Oct
@ Lens
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ SC Braga
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Arouca
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Casa Pia and Sporting CP.
What is the prediction for Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?
Our pick is Sporting CP to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?
On our numbers Casa Pia have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sporting CP 68%.
How many goals will there be in Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?
Our predicted score is Casa Pia 0–2 Sporting CP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?
Casa Pia vs Sporting CP (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
