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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Famalicao v Arouca: numbers & prediction

Primeira Liga · Portugal · Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
1–0
FT

Arouca

WWDWD
Famalicao 42%Draw 23%Arouca 35% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.13
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultFamalicao to win ✓42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99

Famalicao vs Arouca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arouca travel to face Famalicao on Friday 6 November in the Primeira Liga, with Estadio Municipal de Famalicao the venue – the ball rolls at 21:45 WAT. In the table, Famalicao are 10th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Arouca are 5th (upper half) with 20.

Current form

Famalicao, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to SC Braga, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Arouca, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nacional, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Arouca, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Famalicao.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Jul 2026) it ended Famalicao 0–0 Arouca. The last 2 head-to-heads: Famalicao 1 win, Arouca 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Famalicao 1.3 xG, Arouca 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Famalicao 42%, draw 23%, Arouca 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Famalicao 1–1 Arouca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Famalicao42%fair 2.35 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Arouca35%fair 2.87 · @3.00
2.41Expected goals
1.28Famalicao xG
1.13Arouca xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Famalicao 1.3 – 1.1 Arouca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFamalicao to win ✓42%2.352.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.991.91
Draw no betFamalicao (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapArouca +1 (Asian handicap)77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.451.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.07
First team to scoreFamalicao to score first ✓48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Famalicao / FT Famalicao ✗23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.99–

Recent results

Famalicao – last 6

LDWLLW
1 Nov@ SC Braga0–3L
29 Oct@ SC Braga2–2D
25 Oct@ Rio Ave4–0W
18 Oct@ Paredes0–1L
12 Octvs Alverca1–4L
19 Sep@ Nacional4–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Arouca – last 6

WWDWDL
1 Novvs Nacional1–0W
24 Oct@ Alverca1–0W
18 Oct@ CF Os Belenenses3–3D
11 Octvs Estrela1–0W
19 Sep@ Sporting CP2–2D
13 Sepvs Santa Clara1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Jul 2026Famalicao v Arouca0–0
6 Mar 2026Famalicao v Arouca1–0
Famalicao vs Arouca head-to-head page →

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto111100+2233
2Benfica11911+2028
3Sporting CP11731+1324
4Santa Clara11632+821
5Arouca11623+520
6Academico Viseu11623+220
7GIL Vicente11533+218
8SC Braga11524+217
9Moreirense11425-514
10Famalicao11344+113
11Alverca11335-112
12Estrela11245-510
13Nacional11317-810
14Vitória SC11236-19
15Maritimo10226-128
16Casa Pia11227-148
17Rio Ave11218-157
18Estoril10028-142

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Famalicao vs Arouca?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Famalicao vs Arouca?

On our numbers Famalicao have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arouca 35%.

How many goals will there be in Famalicao vs Arouca?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Famalicao vs Arouca?

Our predicted score is Famalicao 1–1 Arouca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Famalicao vs Arouca?

Famalicao vs Arouca (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Famalicao.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.