Famalicao vs Arouca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arouca travel to face Famalicao on Friday 6 November in the Primeira Liga, with Estadio Municipal de Famalicao the venue – the ball rolls at 21:45 WAT. In the table, Famalicao are 10th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Arouca are 5th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Famalicao, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to SC Braga, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Arouca, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nacional, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Arouca, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Famalicao.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Jul 2026) it ended Famalicao 0–0 Arouca. The last 2 head-to-heads: Famalicao 1 win, Arouca 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Famalicao 1.3 xG, Arouca 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Famalicao 42%, draw 23%, Arouca 35%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Famalicao 1–1 Arouca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Famalicao42%fair 2.35 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Arouca35%fair 2.87 · @3.00
2.41Expected goals
1.28Famalicao xG
1.13Arouca xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Famalicao 1.3 – 1.1 Arouca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Famalicao vs Arouca?
On our numbers Famalicao have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arouca 35%.
How many goals will there be in Famalicao vs Arouca?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Famalicao vs Arouca?
Our predicted score is Famalicao 1–1 Arouca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Famalicao vs Arouca?
Famalicao vs Arouca (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Famalicao.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.