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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Middelfart v VSK Århus: numbers & prediction

2. Division · Denmark
1–1
FT
Middelfart 56%Draw 24%VSK Århus 20% Expected goals 1.73 – 0.91
80%
Betarazi pick

Middelfart or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1

Value bet: Middelfart to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMiddelfart to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceMiddelfart or draw ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29

Middelfart vs VSK Århus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Middelfart welcome VSK Århus for a 2. Division fixture on Saturday 19 September (13:00 WAT). In the table, Middelfart are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 15 matches; VSK Århus are 8th (lower half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Middelfart, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Skive, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

VSK Århus, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with B 93, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Middelfart, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for VSK Århus.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Middelfart 3–0 VSK Århus.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Middelfart 1.7 xG, VSK Århus 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Middelfart 56%, draw 24%, VSK Århus 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Middelfart or draw (80%) at 1.29.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Middelfart to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Middelfart or draw (80%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.24, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Middelfart 1–0 VSK Århus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Middelfart56%fair 1.77 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
VSK Århus20%fair 5.08 · @3.30
2.64Expected goals
1.73Middelfart xG
0.91VSK Århus xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Middelfart 1.7 – 0.9 VSK Århus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMiddelfart to win ✗56%1.771.91 ▲
Double chanceMiddelfart or draw ✓80%1.241.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.62
Draw no betMiddelfart (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapVSK Århus +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreMiddelfart to score first ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Middelfart / FT Middelfart ✗35%2.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.29–

Recent results

Middelfart – last 6

DDDWWL
13 Sep@ Skive0–0D
9 Sep@ Nykobing FC4–4D
5 Sepvs Fremad Amager1–1D
29 Aug@ HIK2–1W
25 Aug@ OKS1–0W
22 Augvs Nykobing FC2–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

VSK Århus – last 6

DLLDDW
13 Sepvs B 932–2D
9 Sepvs Lyngby0–2L
5 Sep@ Roskilde0–1L
29 Augvs FA 20000–0D
26 Aug@ Marienlyst1–1D
23 Aug@ Naestved2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Middelfart v VSK Århus3–0
Middelfart vs VSK Århus head-to-head page →

2. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nykobing FC15942+1931
2Roskilde15780+1629
3B 9315735+624
4Middelfart15573+622
5Skive15636+221
6Naestved15492+221
7Fremad Amager15564-521
8VSK Århus15555+120
9Brabrand15537-418
10HIK15438-1115
11FA 200015339-1412
12Thisted FC151410-187

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Middelfart vs VSK Århus?

Our pick is Middelfart or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Middelfart vs VSK Århus?

On our numbers Middelfart have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and VSK Århus 20%.

How many goals will there be in Middelfart vs VSK Århus?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Middelfart vs VSK Århus?

Our predicted score is Middelfart 1–0 VSK Århus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Middelfart vs VSK Århus?

Middelfart vs VSK Århus (2. Division) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.