Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Middelfart to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNaestved to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Naestved vs Middelfart: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Naestved v Middelfart in the 2. Division. In the table, Naestved are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Middelfart are 4th (among the top four) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Naestved, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fremad Amager, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Middelfart, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with VSK Århus, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naestved 1.4 xG, Middelfart 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naestved 40%, draw 23%, Middelfart 37%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Middelfart to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naestved 1–1 Middelfart. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naestved40%fair 2.50 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Middelfart37%fair 2.72 · @2.90
2.69Expected goals
1.38Naestved xG
1.31Middelfart xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Naestved 1.4 – 1.3 Middelfart expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naestved to win✗
40%
2.50
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Draw no bet
Naestved (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Middelfart +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Naestved to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naestved / FT Naestved✗
22%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Naestved – last 6
DWDWLD
18 Sep
@ Fremad Amager
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Thisted FC
3–1
W
4 Sep
@ B 93
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Skive
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs VSK Århus
0–2
L
18 Aug
@ Nykobing FC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Middelfart – last 6
DDDDWW
19 Sep
vs VSK Århus
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Skive
0–0
D
9 Sep
@ Nykobing FC
4–4
D
5 Sep
vs Fremad Amager
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ HIK
2–1
W
25 Aug
@ OKS
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naestved and Middelfart.
What is the prediction for Naestved vs Middelfart?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Naestved vs Middelfart?
On our numbers Naestved have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Middelfart 37%.
How many goals will there be in Naestved vs Middelfart?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naestved vs Middelfart?
Our predicted score is Naestved 1–1 Middelfart, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Naestved vs Middelfart?
Naestved vs Middelfart (2. Division) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
