Colwyn Bay 67%Draw 20%Trefelin 12%Expected goals 2.21 – 0.85
67%
Betarazi pick
Colwyn Bay to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultColwyn Bay to win ✓67% · @1.33
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 31 July the Premier League brings Colwyn Bay against Trefelin at Llanelian Road. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Colwyn Bay are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Trefelin are 15th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Colwyn Bay, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bootle, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Trefelin, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Treowen Stars, at home. 3.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Trefelin, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Colwyn Bay.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colwyn Bay 2.2 xG, Trefelin 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colwyn Bay 67%, draw 20%, Trefelin 12%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Colwyn Bay to win (67%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colwyn Bay 2–0 Trefelin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colwyn Bay67%fair 1.49 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.60
Trefelin12%fair 8.13 · @7.50
3.05Expected goals
2.21Colwyn Bay xG
0.85Trefelin xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Colwyn Bay 2.2 – 0.8 Trefelin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colwyn Bay to win✓
67%
1.49
1.33
Double chance
Colwyn Bay or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Draw no bet
Colwyn Bay (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Colwyn Bay -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
Colwyn Bay to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Colwyn Bay ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colwyn Bay / FT Colwyn Bay✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Colwyn Bay – last 6
WLDWLW
25 Jul
vs Bootle
1–0
W
14 Jul
@ Marine
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs Altrincham
2–2
D
6 Jul
vs Rhyl
3–2
W
3 Jul
vs Denbigh Town
1–2
L
27 Jun
@ Bala Town
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Trefelin – last 6
WWWLWW
3 Apr
vs Treowen Stars
6–0
W
30 Mar
@ Cwmbran Celtic
8–1
W
27 Mar
@ Pontypridd Town
3–1
W
17 Mar
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–4
L
4 Mar
vs Cardiff Draconians
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Ynyshir Albions
2–0
W
3.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colwyn Bay and Trefelin.
What is the prediction for Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin?
Our pick is Colwyn Bay to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin?
On our numbers Colwyn Bay have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Trefelin 12%.
How many goals will there be in Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin?
Our predicted score is Colwyn Bay 2–0 Trefelin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin?
Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Llanelian Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
