Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:15 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Caernarfon Town v Colwyn Bay in the Premier League, played at The Oval. In the table, Caernarfon Town are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Colwyn Bay are 4th (among the top four) with 32. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Caernarfon Town, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Penybont, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Colwyn Bay, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ammanford AFC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Colwyn Bay 0–2 Caernarfon Town. The last 2 head-to-heads: Caernarfon Town 2 wins, Colwyn Bay 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caernarfon Town 1.4 xG, Colwyn Bay 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caernarfon Town 38%, draw 21%, Colwyn Bay 41%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caernarfon Town 1–1 Colwyn Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caernarfon Town38%fair 2.61 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.45
Colwyn Bay41%fair 2.46 · @2.40
2.93Expected goals
1.44Caernarfon Town xG
1.49Colwyn Bay xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Caernarfon Town 1.4 – 1.5 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
On our numbers Caernarfon Town have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Colwyn Bay 41%.
How many goals will there be in Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Our predicted score is Caernarfon Town 1–1 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at The Oval.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
