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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Flint Town United v GAP Connah S Quay FC: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Wales · Essity Stadium
Flint Town United 22%Draw 21%GAP Connah S Quay FC 57% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.91
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds
2

Value bet: GAP Connah S Quay FC to win @ 1.86 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✓57% · @1.86
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.09

Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

GAP Connah S Quay FC travel to face Flint Town United on Monday 31 August in the Premier League, with Essity Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Flint Town United are 13th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 38. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Flint Town United, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Penybont, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

GAP Connah S Quay FC, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cambrian & Clydach, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours GAP Connah S Quay FC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.2 for Flint Town United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Flint Town United 1.1 xG, GAP Connah S Quay FC 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Flint Town United 22%, draw 21%, GAP Connah S Quay FC 57%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: GAP Connah S Quay FC to win @1.86 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flint Town United 1–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Flint Town United22%fair 4.59 · @3.55
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.35
GAP Connah S Quay FC57%fair 1.74 · @1.86
2.99Expected goals
1.08Flint Town United xG
1.91GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%

From our goals model: Flint Town United 1.1 – 1.9 GAP Connah S Quay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✓57%1.741.86 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.21
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.65
Draw no betGAP Connah S Quay FC (draw no bet) ✓72%1.38–
Asian handicapFlint Town United +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.34
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreGAP Connah S Quay FC to score first ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultGAP Connah S Quay FC ahead at half-time ✓42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC ✓36%2.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.09–

Recent results

Flint Town United – last 6

DLLLLL
28 Aug@ Penybont1–1D
21 Augvs Briton Ferry0–1L
14 Aug@ Cambrian & Clydach0–1L
7 Augvs Barry Town2–3L
31 Jul@ Llandudno2–3L
3 Aprvs Haverfordwest County AFC0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6

WWWWLL
28 Augvs Cambrian & Clydach3–0W
22 Aug@ Ammanford AFC2–0W
14 Augvs Trefelin6–0W
7 Aug@ Holywell3–1W
2 Augvs Caernarfon Town1–2L
16 Jul@ Ballkani2–3L
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Flint Town United and GAP Connah S Quay FC.

Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

On our numbers Flint Town United have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and GAP Connah S Quay FC 57%.

How many goals will there be in Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Our predicted score is Flint Town United 1–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.