Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Colwyn Bay welcome GAP Connah S Quay FC to Llanelian Road for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 12 September (17:30 WAT). In the table, Colwyn Bay are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 38.
Current form
Colwyn Bay, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Penybont, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
GAP Connah S Quay FC, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Haverfordwest County AFC, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours GAP Connah S Quay FC, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Colwyn Bay.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colwyn Bay 1.2 xG, GAP Connah S Quay FC 1.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colwyn Bay 27%, draw 23%, GAP Connah S Quay FC 50%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was GAP Connah S Quay FC to win (50%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.99, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colwyn Bay 1–2 GAP Connah S Quay FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colwyn Bay27%fair 3.71 · @3.25
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
GAP Connah S Quay FC50%fair 1.99 · @2.10
3.00Expected goals
1.23Colwyn Bay xG
1.77GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Colwyn Bay 1.2 – 1.8 GAP Connah S Quay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win✗
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.83
Draw no bet
GAP Connah S Quay FC (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Colwyn Bay +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
GAP Connah S Quay FC to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Colwyn Bay – last 6
LWLWLD
5 Sep
@ Penybont
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs Llandudno
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ The New Saints
1–5
L
21 Aug
vs Airbus UK
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Caernarfon Town
0–3
L
7 Aug
@ Ammanford AFC
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6
DWWWWW
4 Sep
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Flint Town United
2–1
W
28 Aug
vs Cambrian & Clydach
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Ammanford AFC
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Trefelin
6–0
W
7 Aug
@ Holywell
3–1
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colwyn Bay and GAP Connah S Quay FC.
What is the prediction for Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Our pick is GAP Connah S Quay FC to win with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
On our numbers Colwyn Bay have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and GAP Connah S Quay FC 50%.
How many goals will there be in Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Our predicted score is Colwyn Bay 1–2 GAP Connah S Quay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Llanelian Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
