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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Flint Town United v Colwyn Bay: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Wales · Essity Stadium
0–1
FT
Flint Town United 15%Draw 22%Colwyn Bay 63% Expected goals 0.93 – 2.07
63%
Betarazi pick

Colwyn Bay to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultColwyn Bay to win ✓63% · @1.62
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the Premier League brings Flint Town United against Colwyn Bay at Essity Stadium. Kick-off: 17:15 WAT. In the table, Flint Town United are 13th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; Colwyn Bay are 4th (among the top four) with 32. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Flint Town United, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Haverfordwest County AFC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Colwyn Bay, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Briton Ferry, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Colwyn Bay, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Flint Town United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Flint Town United 0.9 xG, Colwyn Bay 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Flint Town United 15%, draw 22%, Colwyn Bay 63%.
  • Lower-risk option: Colwyn Bay or draw (85%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Colwyn Bay to win (63%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flint Town United 0–2 Colwyn Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Flint Town United15%fair 6.54 · @4.75
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.80
Colwyn Bay63%fair 1.59 · @1.62
3.00Expected goals
0.93Flint Town United xG
2.07Colwyn Bay xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Flint Town United 0.9 – 2.1 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColwyn Bay to win ✓63%1.591.62
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw ✓85%1.181.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.73
Draw no betColwyn Bay (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapColwyn Bay -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreColwyn Bay to score first ✓66%1.53–
Half-time resultColwyn Bay ahead at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colwyn Bay / FT Colwyn Bay ✓41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Flint Town United – last 6

WWLLDL
3 Oct@ Haverfordwest County AFC1–0W
26 Sepvs Ammanford AFC3–0W
18 Sep@ Airbus UK1–4L
15 Sep@ The New Saints0–5L
11 Sepvs Cardiff MET1–1D
4 Sep@ Caernarfon Town0–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Colwyn Bay – last 6

LWWWWL
3 Oct@ Briton Ferry0–1L
26 Sepvs Haverfordwest County AFC1–0W
18 Sepvs Barry Town5–2W
15 Sep@ Holywell5–0W
12 Sepvs GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1W
5 Sep@ Penybont0–1L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Flint Town United and Colwyn Bay.

Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay?

Our pick is Colwyn Bay to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay?

On our numbers Flint Town United have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Colwyn Bay 63%.

How many goals will there be in Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay?

Our predicted score is Flint Town United 0–2 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay?

Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.