SpVgg Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

Result1. FC Nürnberg to win ✓48% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

SpVgg Greuther Fürth welcome 1. FC Nürnberg to Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer for a 2. Bundesliga fixture on Saturday 15 August (12:00 WAT). In the table, SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 10th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; 1. FC Nürnberg are 2nd (among the top four) with 24. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

SpVgg Greuther Fürth, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC St. Pauli, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

1. FC Nürnberg, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Dynamo Dresden, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 4.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours 1. FC Nürnberg, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.2 xG, 1. FC Nürnberg 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – SpVgg Greuther Fürth 30%, draw 21%, 1. FC Nürnberg 48%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: 1. FC Nürnberg to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

SpVgg Greuther Fürth30%fair 3.28 · @2.90

Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.60

1. FC Nürnberg48%fair 2.06 · @2.25

2.72Expected goals

1.16SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

1.561. FC Nürnberg xG

63%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–110%

1–29%

0–28%

1–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.2 – 1.6 1. FC Nürnberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	1. FC Nürnberg to win ✓	48%	2.06	2.25 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.59	1.55
Draw no bet	1. FC Nürnberg (draw no bet) ✓	61%	1.63	–
Asian handicap	SpVgg Greuther Fürth +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.86	1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	68%	1.47	1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	84%	1.20	1.17
First team to score	1. FC Nürnberg to score first	53%	1.87	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	42%	2.39	–
Half-time / full-time	HT 1. FC Nürnberg / FT 1. FC Nürnberg ✗	28%	3.60	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.77	–

SpVgg Greuther Fürth – last 6

DWWWLW

9 Aug	@ FC St. Pauli	1–1	D
18 Jul	@ FC Zurich	3–2	W
11 Jul	@ Eintracht Bamberg	3–1	W
8 Jul	@ Eltersdorf	3–0	W
5 Jul	@ Bayreuth	0–1	L
26 May	vs Rot-Weiß Essen	2–0	W

2.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

1. FC Nürnberg – last 6

WWDWWW

9 Aug	vs Dynamo Dresden	3–0	W
1 Aug	vs Oviedo	2–1	W
25 Jul	@ Palermo	2–2	D
18 Jul	vs Waldhof Mannheim	3–2	W
11 Jul	@ Ansbach	5–1	W
8 Jul	@ Kornburg	10–0	W

4.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	1. FC Nürnberg	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11	6	3	2	+3	21
4	1. FC Magdeburg	11	6	2	3	+11	20
5	VfL Wolfsburg	11	5	4	2	+10	19
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	1. FC Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	-1	16
8	VfL Bochum	11	4	2	5	-2	14
9	FC St. Pauli	11	2	6	3	-3	12
10	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Hannover 96	11	3	3	5	-6	12
12	Energie Cottbus	11	2	5	4	-2	11
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	-2	11
14	VfL Osnabrück	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	2	6	-5	11
16	Karlsruher SC	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	SV Darmstadt 98	11	2	3	6	-12	9
18	Holstein Kiel	11	1	5	5	-3	8

Team

Pts

+16

+13

+11

+10

-1

-2

-3

-6

-6

-2

Eintracht Braunschweig

-2

-4

-5

-9

-12

-3

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

On our numbers SpVgg Greuther Fürth have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and 1. FC Nürnberg 48%.

How many goals will there be in SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our predicted score is SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Nürnberg: numbers & prediction