Holstein Kiel 37%Draw 21%1. FC Nürnberg 41%Expected goals 1.95 – 2.05
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: 1. FC Nürnberg to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
Result1. FC Nürnberg to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.30
Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
1. FC Nürnberg travel to face Holstein Kiel on Saturday 5 September in the 2. Bundesliga, with Holstein-Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Holstein Kiel are 18th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; 1. FC Nürnberg are 2nd (among the top four) with 24. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Holstein Kiel, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to 1. FC Magdeburg, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
1. FC Nürnberg, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Arminia Bielefeld, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours 1. FC Nürnberg, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Holstein Kiel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Holstein Kiel 1.9 xG, 1. FC Nürnberg 2.1 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Holstein Kiel 37%, draw 21%, 1. FC Nürnberg 41%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: 1. FC Nürnberg to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holstein Kiel 1–2 1. FC Nürnberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Holstein Kiel37%fair 2.69 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
1. FC Nürnberg41%fair 2.42 · @2.75
4.00Expected goals
1.95Holstein Kiel xG
2.051. FC Nürnberg xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Holstein Kiel 1.9 – 2.1 1. FC Nürnberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1. FC Nürnberg to win✗
41%
2.42
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Draw no bet
1. FC Nürnberg (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Holstein Kiel +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
1. FC Nürnberg to score first
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
1. FC Nürnberg ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 1. FC Nürnberg / FT 1. FC Nürnberg✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.30
–
Recent results
Holstein Kiel – last 6
LWDDLL
30 Aug
@ 1. FC Magdeburg
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ TSV 1860 München
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs FC St. Pauli
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ SV Darmstadt 98
2–2
D
29 Jul
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ FSV Mainz 05
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
1. FC Nürnberg – last 6
WDWWWD
29 Aug
vs Arminia Bielefeld
4–1
W
22 Aug
@ FC Viktoria Köln
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4–2
W
9 Aug
vs Dynamo Dresden
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Oviedo
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Palermo
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Nürnberg.
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
On our numbers Holstein Kiel have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and 1. FC Nürnberg 41%.
How many goals will there be in Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Our predicted score is Holstein Kiel 1–2 1. FC Nürnberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Holstein-Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
