Arminia Bielefeld v 1. FC Heidenheim Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultArminia Bielefeld to win ✗43% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.50

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.05

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arminia Bielefeld welcome 1. FC Heidenheim to Schüco-Arena for a 2. Bundesliga fixture on Sunday 20 September (12:30 WAT). In the table, Arminia Bielefeld are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; 1. FC Heidenheim are 7th (upper half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Arminia Bielefeld, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to SV Darmstadt 98, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

1. FC Heidenheim, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Holstein Kiel, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours 1. FC Heidenheim, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Arminia Bielefeld.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arminia Bielefeld 2.1 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 1.9 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Arminia Bielefeld 43%, draw 21%, 1. FC Heidenheim 36%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: 1. FC Heidenheim to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.44, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arminia Bielefeld43%fair 2.32 · @2.10

Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40

1. FC Heidenheim36%fair 2.81 · @3.00

4.00Expected goals

2.10Arminia Bielefeld xG

1.901. FC Heidenheim xG

70%Both score

76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%

1–17%

2–27%

1–27%

3–15%

3–25%

From our goals model: Arminia Bielefeld 2.1 – 1.9 1. FC Heidenheim expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Arminia Bielefeld to win ✗	43%	2.32	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	79%	1.27	1.29
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	70%	1.44	1.50
Draw no bet	Arminia Bielefeld (draw no bet)	55%	1.83	–
Asian handicap	1. FC Heidenheim +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	70%	1.44	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	57%	1.77	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	63%	1.59	–
First team to score	Arminia Bielefeld to score first	51%	1.94	–
Half-time result	Arminia Bielefeld ahead at half-time ✗	36%	2.80	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Arminia Bielefeld / FT Arminia Bielefeld ✗	27%	3.72	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	13.05	–

Arminia Bielefeld – last 6

LDLDWL

11 Sep	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1–2	L
4 Sep	vs FC St. Pauli	2–2	D
29 Aug	@ 1. FC Nürnberg	1–4	L
22 Aug	@ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	2–2	D
16 Aug	vs Energie Cottbus	3–0	W
8 Aug	@ Karlsruher SC	1–2	L

1.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

1. FC Heidenheim – last 6

WWWLLL

13 Sep	vs Holstein Kiel	1–0	W
6 Sep	@ SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1–0	W
29 Aug	vs Dynamo Dresden	5–3	W
23 Aug	@ SSV Jeddeloh	2–5	L
18 Aug	vs Bayern München	2–4	L
15 Aug	@ Hertha BSC	1–4	L

2.0Scored / game

2.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	1. FC Nürnberg	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11	6	3	2	+3	21
4	1. FC Magdeburg	11	6	2	3	+11	20
5	VfL Wolfsburg	11	5	4	2	+10	19
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	1. FC Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	-1	16
8	VfL Bochum	11	4	2	5	-2	14
9	FC St. Pauli	11	2	6	3	-3	12
10	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Hannover 96	11	3	3	5	-6	12
12	Energie Cottbus	11	2	5	4	-2	11
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	-2	11
14	VfL Osnabrück	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	2	6	-5	11
16	Karlsruher SC	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	SV Darmstadt 98	11	2	3	6	-12	9
18	Holstein Kiel	11	1	5	5	-3	8

Team

Pts

+16

+13

+11

+10

-1

-2

-3

-6

-6

-2

Eintracht Braunschweig

-2

-4

-5

-9

-12

-3

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

On our numbers Arminia Bielefeld have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and 1. FC Heidenheim 36%.

How many goals will there be in Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

Our predicted score is Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Schüco-Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Arminia Bielefeld v 1. FC Heidenheim: numbers & prediction