Holstein Kiel v VfL Osnabrück Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHolstein Kiel to win ✗58% · @1.75

Double chanceHolstein Kiel or draw ✓82% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Holstein Kiel v VfL Osnabrück in the 2. Bundesliga, played at Holstein-Stadion. In the table, Holstein Kiel are 18th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; VfL Osnabrück are 14th (lower half) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Holstein Kiel, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to 1. FC Heidenheim, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

VfL Osnabrück, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Hertha BSC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours VfL Osnabrück, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Holstein Kiel.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Holstein Kiel 2.2 xG, VfL Osnabrück 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Holstein Kiel 58%, draw 24%, VfL Osnabrück 18%.
Lower-risk option: Holstein Kiel or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Holstein Kiel or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holstein Kiel 2–1 VfL Osnabrück. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Holstein Kiel58%fair 1.73 · @1.75

Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.90

VfL Osnabrück18%fair 5.62 · @3.90

3.40Expected goals

2.20Holstein Kiel xG

1.20VfL Osnabrück xG

64%Both score

66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

1–19%

2–08%

1–07%

3–17%

3–06%

From our goals model: Holstein Kiel 2.2 – 1.2 VfL Osnabrück expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Holstein Kiel to win ✗	58%	1.73	1.75
Double chance	Holstein Kiel or draw ✓	82%	1.22	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.57	1.44
Draw no bet	Holstein Kiel (draw no bet)	76%	1.31	–
Asian handicap	Holstein Kiel -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	60%	1.67	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	56%	1.79	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	74%	1.34	–
First team to score	Holstein Kiel to score first ✓	63%	1.60	–
Half-time result	Holstein Kiel ahead at half-time ✓	45%	2.22	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Holstein Kiel / FT Holstein Kiel ✗	39%	2.59	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.32	–

Holstein Kiel – last 6

LDLWDD

13 Sep	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	0–1	L
5 Sep	vs 1. FC Nürnberg	2–2	D
30 Aug	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	0–2	L
22 Aug	@ TSV 1860 München	2–0	W
14 Aug	vs FC St. Pauli	2–2	D
8 Aug	@ SV Darmstadt 98	2–2	D

1.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

VfL Osnabrück – last 6

LWLWWL

13 Sep	vs Hertha BSC	1–3	L
6 Sep	vs Eintracht Braunschweig	3–1	W
2 Sep	vs Bayern München	1–4	L
28 Aug	@ VfL Bochum	1–0	W
18 Aug	@ Spelle-Venhaus	5–3	W
15 Aug	vs 1. FC Magdeburg	0–3	L

1.8Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	1. FC Nürnberg	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11	6	3	2	+3	21
4	1. FC Magdeburg	11	6	2	3	+11	20
5	VfL Wolfsburg	11	5	4	2	+10	19
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	1. FC Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	-1	16
8	VfL Bochum	11	4	2	5	-2	14
9	FC St. Pauli	11	2	6	3	-3	12
10	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Hannover 96	11	3	3	5	-6	12
12	Energie Cottbus	11	2	5	4	-2	11
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	-2	11
14	VfL Osnabrück	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	2	6	-5	11
16	Karlsruher SC	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	SV Darmstadt 98	11	2	3	6	-12	9
18	Holstein Kiel	11	1	5	5	-3	8

Team

Pts

+16

+13

+11

+10

-1

-2

-3

-6

-6

-2

Eintracht Braunschweig

-2

-4

-5

-9

-12

-3

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück?

Our pick is Holstein Kiel or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück?

On our numbers Holstein Kiel have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and VfL Osnabrück 18%.

How many goals will there be in Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück?

Our predicted score is Holstein Kiel 2–1 VfL Osnabrück, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück?

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Holstein-Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Holstein Kiel v VfL Osnabrück: numbers & prediction