1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the 2. Bundesliga brings 1. FC Nürnberg against VfL Wolfsburg at Max-Morlock-Stadion. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, 1. FC Nürnberg are 2nd, among the top four, on 24 points after 11 matches; VfL Wolfsburg are 5th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
1. FC Nürnberg, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FC Ingolstadt 04, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
VfL Wolfsburg, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Havelse, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours 1. FC Nürnberg, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for VfL Wolfsburg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give 1. FC Nürnberg 1.8 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 1.9 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – 1. FC Nürnberg 37%, draw 21%, VfL Wolfsburg 42%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: 1. FC Nürnberg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
1. FC Nürnberg37%fair 2.72 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
VfL Wolfsburg42%fair 2.38 · @2.45
3.75Expected goals
1.811. FC Nürnberg xG
1.94VfL Wolfsburg xG
68%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: 1. FC Nürnberg 1.8 – 1.9 VfL Wolfsburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfL Wolfsburg to win✗
42%
2.38
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Draw no bet
VfL Wolfsburg (draw no bet)
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
1. FC Nürnberg +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
First team to score
VfL Wolfsburg to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfL Wolfsburg / FT VfL Wolfsburg✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.47
–
Recent results
1. FC Nürnberg – last 6
WWWDWD
2 Oct
vs FC Ingolstadt 04
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Karlsruher SC
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Hannover 96
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Holstein Kiel
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Arminia Bielefeld
4–1
W
22 Aug
@ FC Viktoria Köln
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
VfL Wolfsburg – last 6
WWLDWD
1 Oct
vs Havelse
4–1
W
18 Sep
vs SV Darmstadt 98
5–1
W
12 Sep
@ FC St. Pauli
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Energie Cottbus
4–4
D
29 Aug
@ Karlsruher SC
5–2
W
24 Aug
@ Altglienicke
2–2
D
3.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 1. FC Nürnberg and VfL Wolfsburg.
What is the prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
On our numbers 1. FC Nürnberg have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and VfL Wolfsburg 42%.
How many goals will there be in 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our predicted score is 1. FC Nürnberg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Max-Morlock-Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
