VfL Wolfsburg v 1. FC Heidenheim Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultVfL Wolfsburg to win ✓59% · @1.67

Double chanceVfL Wolfsburg or draw ✓81% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.36

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: VfL Wolfsburg v 1. FC Heidenheim in the 2. Bundesliga, played at Volkswagen Arena. In the table, VfL Wolfsburg are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; 1. FC Heidenheim are 7th (upper half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

VfL Wolfsburg, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with 1. FC Nürnberg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.7 goals per game.

1. FC Heidenheim, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with 1. FC Kaiserslautern, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give VfL Wolfsburg 2.6 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 1.5 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – VfL Wolfsburg 59%, draw 22%, 1. FC Heidenheim 19%.
Lower-risk option: VfL Wolfsburg or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was VfL Wolfsburg or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

VfL Wolfsburg59%fair 1.69 · @1.67

Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.90

1. FC Heidenheim19%fair 5.22 · @4.20

4.07Expected goals

2.58VfL Wolfsburg xG

1.491. FC Heidenheim xG

72%Both score

77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%

3–17%

1–17%

2–26%

2–06%

3–25%

From our goals model: VfL Wolfsburg 2.6 – 1.5 1. FC Heidenheim expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	VfL Wolfsburg to win ✓	59%	1.69	1.67
Double chance	VfL Wolfsburg or draw ✓	81%	1.24	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	72%	1.40	1.36
Draw no bet	VfL Wolfsburg (draw no bet) ✓	76%	1.32	–
Asian handicap	VfL Wolfsburg -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	91%	1.09	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	58%	1.72	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	62%	1.63	–
First team to score	VfL Wolfsburg to score first	62%	1.61	–
Half-time result	VfL Wolfsburg ahead at half-time ✓	47%	2.12	–
Half-time / full-time	HT VfL Wolfsburg / FT VfL Wolfsburg ✓	40%	2.49	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.81	–

VfL Wolfsburg – last 6

DWWLDW

10 Oct	@ 1. FC Nürnberg	4–4	D
1 Oct	vs Havelse	4–1	W
18 Sep	vs SV Darmstadt 98	5–1	W
12 Sep	@ FC St. Pauli	0–1	L
5 Sep	vs Energie Cottbus	4–4	D
29 Aug	@ Karlsruher SC	5–2	W

3.7Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

1. FC Heidenheim – last 6

DWLDWW

9 Oct	vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern	0–0	D
2 Oct	vs Würzburger Kickers	3–1	W
25 Sep	@ VfB Stuttgart	0–3	L
20 Sep	@ Arminia Bielefeld	2–2	D
13 Sep	vs Holstein Kiel	1–0	W
6 Sep	@ SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1–0	W

1.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	1. FC Nürnberg	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11	6	3	2	+3	21
4	1. FC Magdeburg	11	6	2	3	+11	20
5	VfL Wolfsburg	11	5	4	2	+10	19
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	1. FC Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	-1	16
8	VfL Bochum	11	4	2	5	-2	14
9	FC St. Pauli	11	2	6	3	-3	12
10	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Hannover 96	11	3	3	5	-6	12
12	Energie Cottbus	11	2	5	4	-2	11
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	-2	11
14	VfL Osnabrück	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	2	6	-5	11
16	Karlsruher SC	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	SV Darmstadt 98	11	2	3	6	-12	9
18	Holstein Kiel	11	1	5	5	-3	8

Team

Pts

+16

+13

+11

+10

-1

-2

-3

-6

-6

-2

Eintracht Braunschweig

-2

-4

-5

-9

-12

-3

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

Our pick is VfL Wolfsburg or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

On our numbers VfL Wolfsburg have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and 1. FC Heidenheim 19%.

How many goals will there be in VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

Our predicted score is VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Volkswagen Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

VfL Wolfsburg v 1. FC Heidenheim: numbers & prediction