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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hertha BSC v Arminia Bielefeld: numbers & prediction

2. Bundesliga · Germany · Olympiastadion
1–0
FT
Hertha BSC 65%Draw 19%Arminia Bielefeld 16% Expected goals 2.27 – 1.04
84%
Betarazi pick

Hertha BSC or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Hertha BSC to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultHertha BSC to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceHertha BSC or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the 2. Bundesliga brings Hertha BSC against Arminia Bielefeld at Olympiastadion. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Hertha BSC are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 11 matches; Arminia Bielefeld are 6th (upper half) with 17. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hertha BSC, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Holstein Kiel, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Arminia Bielefeld, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over VfL Osnabrück, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Hertha BSC, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Arminia Bielefeld.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Arminia Bielefeld 6–1 Hertha BSC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hertha BSC 2.3 xG, Arminia Bielefeld 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hertha BSC 65%, draw 19%, Arminia Bielefeld 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Hertha BSC or draw (84%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Hertha BSC to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hertha BSC or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hertha BSC 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hertha BSC65%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.70
Arminia Bielefeld16%fair 6.25 · @3.90
3.31Expected goals
2.27Hertha BSC xG
1.04Arminia Bielefeld xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Hertha BSC 2.3 – 1.0 Arminia Bielefeld expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHertha BSC to win ✓65%1.551.75 ▲
Double chanceHertha BSC or draw ✓84%1.191.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.44
Draw no betHertha BSC (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapHertha BSC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
First team to scoreHertha BSC to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultHertha BSC ahead at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hertha BSC / FT Hertha BSC ✗42%2.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

Hertha BSC – last 6

DWDWWW
16 Oct@ Holstein Kiel0–0D
11 Octvs SpVgg Greuther Fürth2–1W
2 Oct@ FC Augsburg2–2D
29 Sep@ Hertha Zehlendorf3–1W
19 Sep@ Dynamo Dresden2–1W
13 Sep@ VfL Osnabrück3–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Arminia Bielefeld – last 6

WWDDLD
18 Octvs VfL Osnabrück2–1W
11 Oct@ VfL Bochum1–0W
3 Octvs Rot-Weiß Essen2–2D
20 Sepvs 1. FC Heidenheim2–2D
11 Sep@ SV Darmstadt 981–2L
4 Sepvs FC St. Pauli2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Arminia Bielefeld v Hertha BSC6–1
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld head-to-head page →

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hertha BSC111010+1631
21. FC Nürnberg11731+1324
31. FC Kaiserslautern11632+321
41. FC Magdeburg11623+1120
5VfL Wolfsburg11542+1019
6Arminia Bielefeld11524+217
71. FC Heidenheim11443-116
8VfL Bochum11425-214
9FC St. Pauli11263-312
10SpVgg Greuther Fürth11335-612
11Hannover 9611335-612
12Energie Cottbus11254-211
13Eintracht Braunschweig11326-211
14VfL Osnabrück11326-411
15Dynamo Dresden11326-511
16Karlsruher SC11326-911
17SV Darmstadt 9811236-129
18Holstein Kiel11155-38

More 2. Bundesliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Our pick is Hertha BSC or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?

On our numbers Hertha BSC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Arminia Bielefeld 16%.

How many goals will there be in Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Our predicted score is Hertha BSC 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Olympiastadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.