Value bet: Arminia Bielefeld to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArminia Bielefeld to win ✓40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.94
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arminia Bielefeld travel to face Holstein Kiel on Saturday 7 November in the 2. Bundesliga, with Holstein-Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Holstein Kiel are 18th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Arminia Bielefeld are 6th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Holstein Kiel, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to SpVgg Greuther Fürth, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Arminia Bielefeld, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Eintracht Braunschweig, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arminia Bielefeld, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Holstein Kiel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Holstein Kiel 1.3 xG, Arminia Bielefeld 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Holstein Kiel 38%, draw 21%, Arminia Bielefeld 40%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Arminia Bielefeld to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holstein Kiel 1–1 Arminia Bielefeld. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Holstein Kiel38%fair 2.60 · @2.38
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.50
Arminia Bielefeld40%fair 2.49 · @2.70
2.69Expected goals
1.33Holstein Kiel xG
1.36Arminia Bielefeld xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Holstein Kiel 1.3 – 1.4 Arminia Bielefeld expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arminia Bielefeld to win✓
40%
2.49
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.67
Draw no bet
Arminia Bielefeld (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Holstein Kiel +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Arminia Bielefeld to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arminia Bielefeld / FT Arminia Bielefeld✓
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
11.94
–
Recent results
Holstein Kiel – last 6
LDWDLW
1 Nov
@ SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0–1
L
28 Oct
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Dynamo Dresden
3–0
W
16 Oct
vs Hertha BSC
0–0
D
9 Oct
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Viborg
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Arminia Bielefeld – last 6
WLWWDD
30 Oct
vs Eintracht Braunschweig
3–1
W
24 Oct
@ Hertha BSC
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs VfL Osnabrück
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ VfL Bochum
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Rot-Weiß Essen
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs 1. FC Heidenheim
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holstein Kiel and Arminia Bielefeld.
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
On our numbers Holstein Kiel have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arminia Bielefeld 40%.
How many goals will there be in Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Our predicted score is Holstein Kiel 1–1 Arminia Bielefeld, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Holstein-Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
