Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDynamo Dresden to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 6 November the 2. Bundesliga brings Dynamo Dresden against SpVgg Greuther Fürth at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Dynamo Dresden are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 10th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dynamo Dresden, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hannover 96, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Holstein Kiel, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dynamo Dresden 1.6 xG, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dynamo Dresden 45%, draw 21%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 34%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dynamo Dresden 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dynamo Dresden45%fair 2.24 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.60
SpVgg Greuther Fürth34%fair 2.91 · @3.40
2.99Expected goals
1.61Dynamo Dresden xG
1.38SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG
65%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Dynamo Dresden 1.6 – 1.4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dynamo Dresden to win✓
45%
2.24
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.57
Draw no bet
Dynamo Dresden (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
SpVgg Greuther Fürth +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
First team to score
Dynamo Dresden to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dynamo Dresden / FT Dynamo Dresden✓
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
Dynamo Dresden – last 6
LWLWDL
1 Nov
@ Hannover 96
1–2
L
28 Oct
vs FC Schalke 04
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Holstein Kiel
0–3
L
18 Oct
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ VfL Osnabrück
1–1
D
2 Oct
@ Teplice
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth – last 6
WLWLLD
1 Nov
vs Holstein Kiel
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ VfL Osnabrück
0–3
L
17 Oct
vs Eintracht Braunschweig
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Hertha BSC
1–2
L
1 Oct
@ VfB Stuttgart
0–5
L
18 Sep
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dynamo Dresden and SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
On our numbers Dynamo Dresden have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 34%.
How many goals will there be in Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our predicted score is Dynamo Dresden 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
