Value bet: Lusitânia Lourosa to win @ 2.32 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLusitânia Lourosa to win ✓46% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Monday 10 August: Lusitânia Lourosa v FC Porto B in the Segunda Liga, played at Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa FC. In the table, Lusitânia Lourosa are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; FC Porto B are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Lusitânia Lourosa, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Paredes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
FC Porto B, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Lusitânia Lourosa, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Jul 2026) it ended Lusitânia Lourosa 3–3 FC Porto B. The last 2 head-to-heads: Lusitânia Lourosa 0 wins, FC Porto B 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lusitânia Lourosa 1.5 xG, FC Porto B 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lusitânia Lourosa 46%, draw 26%, FC Porto B 28%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Lusitânia Lourosa to win @2.32 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lusitânia Lourosa 1–0 FC Porto B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lusitânia Lourosa46%fair 2.15 · @2.32
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.30
FC Porto B28%fair 3.59 · @2.84
2.45Expected goals
1.49Lusitânia Lourosa xG
0.96FC Porto B xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Lusitânia Lourosa 1.5 – 1.0 FC Porto B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lusitânia Lourosa
FC Porto B
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
-0%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+17%
Our expected goals here
1.56
0.85
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?
On our numbers Lusitânia Lourosa have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Porto B 28%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?
Our predicted score is Lusitânia Lourosa 1–0 FC Porto B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?
Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa FC.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
