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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vizela v União de Leiria: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estádio do FC Vizela

Vizela

LLLWW
1–0
FT
Vizela 42%Draw 25%União de Leiria 33% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.33
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultVizela to win ✓42% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79

Vizela vs União de Leiria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

União de Leiria travel to face Vizela on Sunday 9 August in the Segunda Liga, with Estádio do FC Vizela the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Vizela are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; União de Leiria are 5th (upper half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Vizela, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Celta de Vigo II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

União de Leiria, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Las Palmas, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours União de Leiria, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Vizela.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vizela 1.4 xG, União de Leiria 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vizela 42%, draw 25%, União de Leiria 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vizela 1–1 União de Leiria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vizela42%fair 2.39 · @2.28
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.30
União de Leiria33%fair 3.06 · @2.88
2.73Expected goals
1.40Vizela xG
1.33União de Leiria xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Vizela 1.4 – 1.3 União de Leiria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

VizelaUnião de Leiria
Attack vs Segunda Liga average-4%+21%
Goals conceded vs average+0%+4%
Our expected goals here1.341.48

Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVizela to win ✓42%2.392.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.70
Draw no betVizela (draw no bet) ✓56%1.78–
Asian handicapUnião de Leiria +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.351.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.991.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreVizela to score first ✓48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vizela / FT Vizela ✓23%4.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.79–

Recent results

Vizela – last 6

LLLWWL
1 Augvs Celta de Vigo II0–1L
29 Jul@ Leixoes2–3L
25 Julvs SC Braga B2–3L
18 Julvs Chaves1–0W
14 Jul@ SC Braga5–0W
11 Julvs Fafe0–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

União de Leiria – last 6

LWDDWW
28 Jul@ Las Palmas2–3L
15 Julvs AD Marco 092–0W
17 Mayvs Feirense2–2D
5 Aprvs Lusitânia Lourosa0–0D
29 Marvs Pacos Ferreira2–0W
20 Mar@ Chaves2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vizela and União de Leiria.

Vizela vs União de Leiria head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vizela vs União de Leiria?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Vizela vs União de Leiria?

On our numbers Vizela have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and União de Leiria 33%.

How many goals will there be in Vizela vs União de Leiria?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vizela vs União de Leiria?

Our predicted score is Vizela 1–1 União de Leiria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Vizela vs União de Leiria?

Vizela vs União de Leiria (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do FC Vizela.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.