Value bet: Feirense to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAcademica to win ✓42% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.05
Academica vs Feirense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Academica welcome Feirense to Estádio Cidade de Coimbra for a Segunda Liga fixture on Friday 14 August (18:00 WAT). In the table, Academica are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Feirense are 18th (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
Academica, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Chaves, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Feirense, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Felgueiras 1932, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Academica 1.3 xG, Feirense 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Academica 42%, draw 23%, Feirense 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Feirense to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Academica 1–1 Feirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Academica42%fair 2.41 · @2.18
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.15
Feirense35%fair 2.82 · @3.20
2.44Expected goals
1.28Academica xG
1.16Feirense xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Academica 1.3 – 1.2 Feirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Academica to win✓
42%
2.41
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.85
Draw no bet
Academica (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Feirense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Academica to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Academica / FT Academica✓
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.05
–
Recent results
Academica – last 6
WDDWLL
8 Aug
@ Chaves
4–1
W
1 Aug
@ Caldas
2–2
D
31 Jul
@ União Santarém
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ FC Porto B
3–1
W
22 Jul
@ Tondela
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Guimaraes
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Feirense – last 6
DDDDWD
9 Aug
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ União Lamas
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Arouca
0–0
D
17 May
@ União de Leiria
2–2
D
3 May
@ Pacos Ferreira
2–1
W
28 Apr
vs Torreense
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Academica and Feirense.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Academica vs Feirense?
On our numbers Academica have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Feirense 35%.
How many goals will there be in Academica vs Feirense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Academica vs Feirense?
Our predicted score is Academica 1–1 Feirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Academica vs Feirense?
Academica vs Feirense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cidade de Coimbra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
