Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultFarense to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Farense vs Chaves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Farense welcome Chaves to Estádio de São Luís for a Segunda Liga fixture on Sunday 4 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Farense are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Chaves are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Farense, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sacavenense, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Chaves, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Guarda, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Farense, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Chaves.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Chaves 2–0 Farense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Farense 1.4 xG, Chaves 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Farense 45%, draw 23%, Chaves 32%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Farense 1–1 Chaves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Farense45%fair 2.22 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Chaves32%fair 3.16 · @3.10
2.60Expected goals
1.44Farense xG
1.16Chaves xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Farense 1.4 – 1.2 Chaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Farense vs Chaves?
On our numbers Farense have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chaves 32%.
How many goals will there be in Farense vs Chaves?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Farense vs Chaves?
Our predicted score is Farense 1–1 Chaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Farense vs Chaves?
Farense vs Chaves (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio de São Luís.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
