Tondela 63%Draw 21%FC Porto B 15%Expected goals 1.63 – 0.62
63%
Betarazi pick
Tondela to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultTondela to win ✓63% · @1.65
Double chanceTondela or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.84
Tondela vs FC Porto B: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Porto B travel to face Tondela on Saturday 5 September in the Segunda Liga – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Tondela are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; FC Porto B are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Tondela, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to União de Leiria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
FC Porto B, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Penafiel, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tondela 1.6 xG, FC Porto B 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tondela 63%, draw 21%, FC Porto B 15%.
Lower-risk option: Tondela or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tondela to win (63%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tondela 1–0 FC Porto B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tondela63%fair 1.59 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.50
FC Porto B15%fair 6.49 · @4.60
2.25Expected goals
1.63Tondela xG
0.62FC Porto B xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Tondela 1.6 – 0.6 FC Porto B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tondela to win✓
63%
1.59
1.65
Double chance
Tondela or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Draw no bet
Tondela (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Tondela -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Tondela to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tondela / FT Tondela✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.84
–
Recent results
Tondela – last 6
LLLWLD
28 Aug
@ União de Leiria
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs Academica
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Leixoes
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Amarante
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Rio Ave
1–3
L
29 Jul
vs São João Ver
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Porto B – last 6
LWLLDL
30 Aug
vs Penafiel
0–3
L
24 Aug
@ Feirense
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Farense
1–3
L
10 Aug
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
0–2
L
29 Jul
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Academica
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tondela and FC Porto B.
Our pick is Tondela to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Tondela vs FC Porto B?
On our numbers Tondela have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Porto B 15%.
How many goals will there be in Tondela vs FC Porto B?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tondela vs FC Porto B?
Our predicted score is Tondela 1–0 FC Porto B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tondela vs FC Porto B?
Tondela vs FC Porto B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
