Value bet: Lusitânia Lourosa to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSporting CP B to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.09
Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Monday 14 September: Sporting CP B v Lusitânia Lourosa in the Segunda Liga, played at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira. In the table, Sporting CP B are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 10 matches; Lusitânia Lourosa are 4th (among the top four) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sporting CP B, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Feirense, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Lusitânia Lourosa, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AVS, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Lusitânia Lourosa 1–0 Sporting CP B.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting CP B 1.3 xG, Lusitânia Lourosa 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting CP B 44%, draw 23%, Lusitânia Lourosa 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Lusitânia Lourosa to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting CP B 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting CP B44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Lusitânia Lourosa33%fair 3.03 · @3.30
2.30Expected goals
1.26Sporting CP B xG
1.04Lusitânia Lourosa xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sporting CP B 1.3 – 1.0 Lusitânia Lourosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
On our numbers Sporting CP B have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lusitânia Lourosa 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP B 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
