Value bet: Vizela to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVizela to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.39
Chaves vs Vizela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chaves welcome Vizela to Estadio Municipal de Chaves for a Segunda Liga fixture on Friday 23 October (18:45 WAT). In the table, Chaves are 17th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Vizela are 9th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Chaves, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Os Marialvas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Vizela, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atlético CP, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Vizela 1–0 Chaves.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chaves 1.1 xG, Vizela 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chaves 35%, draw 24%, Vizela 40%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Vizela to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chaves 1–1 Vizela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chaves35%fair 2.83 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Vizela40%fair 2.48 · @2.70
2.36Expected goals
1.13Chaves xG
1.23Vizela xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Chaves 1.1 – 1.2 Vizela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Chaves vs Vizela?
On our numbers Chaves have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vizela 40%.
How many goals will there be in Chaves vs Vizela?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chaves vs Vizela?
Our predicted score is Chaves 1–1 Vizela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chaves vs Vizela?
Chaves vs Vizela (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Chaves.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
