Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Torreense to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTorreense to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceTorreense or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.17
Torreense vs Amarante: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Torreense welcome Amarante to Estadio Manuel Marques for a Segunda Liga fixture on Monday 26 October (21:45 WAT). In the table, Torreense are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Amarante are 14th (lower half) with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Torreense, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Ferencvarosi TC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Amarante, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Academica, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torreense 1.7 xG, Amarante 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torreense 63%, draw 23%, Amarante 14%.
Lower-risk option: Torreense or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Torreense to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Torreense or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torreense 1–0 Amarante. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torreense63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.20
Amarante14%fair 7.39 · @4.20
2.36Expected goals
1.72Torreense xG
0.64Amarante xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Torreense 1.7 – 0.6 Amarante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torreense to win✓
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Torreense or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
Torreense (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Torreense -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Torreense to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Torreense ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torreense / FT Torreense✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.17
–
Recent results
Torreense – last 6
LLLWDW
22 Oct
@ Ferencvarosi TC
1–4
L
15 Oct
vs Sunderland
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Tondela
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Lillestrom
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Leixoes
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Benfica B
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Amarante – last 6
LLWDLW
17 Oct
@ Academica
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Portimonense
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Ponte da Barca
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs União de Leiria
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Leixoes
1–3
L
30 Aug
vs Benfica B
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torreense and Amarante.
Our pick is Torreense or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Torreense vs Amarante?
On our numbers Torreense have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Amarante 14%.
How many goals will there be in Torreense vs Amarante?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torreense vs Amarante?
Our predicted score is Torreense 1–0 Amarante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Torreense vs Amarante?
Torreense vs Amarante (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Marques.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
