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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leixoes v Sporting CP B: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal

Leixoes

LLLWD
1–2
FT
Leixoes 58%Draw 23%Sporting CP B 19% Expected goals 1.67 – 0.83
81%
Betarazi pick

Leixoes or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Leixoes to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLeixoes to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceLeixoes or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.53

Leixoes vs Sporting CP B: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:30 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Leixoes v Sporting CP B in the Segunda Liga. In the table, Leixoes are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Sporting CP B are 2nd (among the top four) with 22.

Current form

Leixoes, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Academica, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Sporting CP B, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leicester City U21, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours Sporting CP B, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Leixoes.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Sporting CP B 0–1 Leixoes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leixoes 1.7 xG, Sporting CP B 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leixoes 58%, draw 23%, Sporting CP B 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Leixoes or draw (81%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Leixoes to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Leixoes or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leixoes 1–0 Sporting CP B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leixoes58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Sporting CP B19%fair 5.15 · @3.40
2.50Expected goals
1.67Leixoes xG
0.83Sporting CP B xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Leixoes 1.7 – 0.8 Sporting CP B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeixoes to win ✗58%1.731.95 ▲
Double chanceLeixoes or draw ✗81%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.80
Draw no betLeixoes (draw no bet) ✗75%1.34–
Asian handicapSporting CP B +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreLeixoes to score first ✗61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leixoes / FT Leixoes ✗35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.53–

Recent results

Leixoes – last 6

LLLWDW
24 Oct@ Academica0–4L
17 Oct@ Vianense0–1L
10 Octvs FC Porto B1–2L
20 Sep@ Cinfães4–0W
11 Sep@ Torreense0–0D
6 Sepvs Amarante3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sporting CP B – last 6

WWWWLW
30 Oct@ Leicester City U212–1W
24 Octvs Portimonense3–0W
10 Oct@ Vizela2–0W
30 Sep@ Nottingham Forest U214–2W
14 Sepvs Lusitânia Lourosa1–2L
5 Sep@ Feirense3–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026Sporting CP B v Leixoes0–1
Leixoes vs Sporting CP B head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leixoes vs Sporting CP B?

Our pick is Leixoes or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Leixoes vs Sporting CP B?

On our numbers Leixoes have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sporting CP B 19%.

How many goals will there be in Leixoes vs Sporting CP B?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leixoes vs Sporting CP B?

Our predicted score is Leixoes 1–0 Sporting CP B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Leixoes vs Sporting CP B?

Leixoes vs Sporting CP B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.