Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultPenafiel to win ✓55% · @1.91
Double chancePenafiel or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.04
Penafiel vs Feirense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Monday 2 November: Penafiel v Feirense in the Segunda Liga, played at Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril. In the table, Penafiel are 1st, leading the league, on 22 points after 10 matches; Feirense are 18th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Penafiel, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Farense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Feirense, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Benfica B, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Penafiel, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.2 for Feirense.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Feirense 1–0 Penafiel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Penafiel 1.5 xG, Feirense 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Penafiel 55%, draw 24%, Feirense 22%.
Lower-risk option: Penafiel or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Penafiel or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penafiel 1–0 Feirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Penafiel55%fair 1.83 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.10
Feirense22%fair 4.64 · @3.60
2.38Expected goals
1.54Penafiel xG
0.84Feirense xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Penafiel 1.5 – 0.8 Feirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Penafiel or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Penafiel vs Feirense?
On our numbers Penafiel have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Feirense 22%.
How many goals will there be in Penafiel vs Feirense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penafiel vs Feirense?
Our predicted score is Penafiel 1–0 Feirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Penafiel vs Feirense?
Penafiel vs Feirense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
