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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AVS v Vizela: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal

AVS

LWWWW
2–2
FT

Vizela

WLLLW
AVS 40%Draw 23%Vizela 38% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.18
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.26 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.26Odds
1

Value bet: AVS to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAVS to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.53

AVS vs Vizela: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Friday 6 November: AVS v Vizela in the Segunda Liga. In the table, AVS are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Vizela are 9th (upper half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

AVS, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to União de Leiria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Vizela, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Academica, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours AVS, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Vizela.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AVS 1.2 xG, Vizela 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AVS 40%, draw 23%, Vizela 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: AVS to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: AVS 1–1 Vizela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AVS40%fair 2.53 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.22
Vizela38%fair 2.66 · @2.32
2.41Expected goals
1.22AVS xG
1.18Vizela xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: AVS 1.2 – 1.2 Vizela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAVS to win ✗40%2.532.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.73
Draw no betAVS (draw no bet)51%1.95–
Asian handicapVizela +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.341.26
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.06
First team to scoreAVS to score first ✗46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT AVS / FT AVS ✗21%4.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.53–

Recent results

AVS – last 6

LWWWWD
31 Oct@ União de Leiria1–2L
25 Octvs Tondela2–1W
17 Octvs Moreirense1–0W
9 Oct@ Penafiel2–1W
20 Sep@ Sintrense2–0W
13 Sepvs Farense0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vizela – last 6

WLLLWD
1 Novvs Academica2–1W
23 Oct@ Chaves1–2L
17 Oct@ Atlético CP0–1L
10 Octvs Sporting CP B0–2L
20 Sep@ Bombarralense1–0W
14 Sep@ FC Porto B2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between AVS and Vizela.

AVS vs Vizela head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AVS vs Vizela?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win AVS vs Vizela?

On our numbers AVS have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vizela 38%.

How many goals will there be in AVS vs Vizela?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AVS vs Vizela?

Our predicted score is AVS 1–1 Vizela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is AVS vs Vizela?

AVS vs Vizela (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.